The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cherepovets 32.6%
Draw 27.8%
Luki-Energiya 39.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.1%
28.5%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
27.7%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Luki-Energiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luki-Energiya than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Cherepovets - Luki Energiya Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Antsiferov I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th and 4th).
In recent outings, Cherepovets has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Luki-Energiya is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Luki-Energiya may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Cherepovets has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:10 (averaging 1.4:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cherepovets against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.