Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 23

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Cherepovets		Luki-Energiya

	1	X	2
	3.47	3.42	1.93
	3.19	2.89	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.76)	3.16 ↑ (2.85)	2.03 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cherepovets
27.1%

Draw
28.6%

Luki-Energiya
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

32.2%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

30.5%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Luki-Energiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luki-Energiya than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pyrkin A. (G) 77. Andreev M. 99. Antsiferov I. 15. Berezov D. 2. Karamyshev M. 17. Kopylov S. 11. Kulkov K. 18. Maklasov V. 5. Pichugin N. 47. Serebryakov D. 14. Yamlikhanov R.	97. Tsutsulaev M. (G) 13. Egorov A. 78. Ejibia N. 19. Ivanov I. 7. Korenblyum A. 79. Kukharchuk A. 9. Lukin A. 4. Lunev V. 37. Ovsyankin I. 8. Polyakov N. 11. Sergeev M.
Substitutes
24. Aleksandrov G. 10. Balashov A. 7. Belyaev M. 16. Dedelev M. (G) 37. Ermolaev N. 27. Gadzhiev D. 8. Krinkin O. 9. Makeev V. 96. Maltsev R. 21. Popov D. 20. Snegirov E. 13. Zykov M. (G)	24. Butakov E. 77. Gavrilenko A. 22. Glebov S. 6. Kurbanov I. 27. Mayboroda M. 10. Strebtsov D. 69. Vaulin D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Egorov A. 🟥,
41', 1 - 0, Andreev M. ⚽,
45', Lukin A. 🟨,
45+4', Ovsyankin I. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Andreev M. 🟨,
68', Kopylov S. ↓, Snegirov E. ↑,
68', Aleksandrov G. ↓, Kulkov K. ↑,
71', Kukharchuk A. ↓, Butakov E. ↑,
78', Polyakov N. ↓, Mayboroda M. ↑,
79', Lukin A. ↓, Strebtsov D. ↑,
79', Andreev M. ↓, Balashov A. ↑,
84', Korenblyum A. ↓, Gavrilenko A. ↑,
88', Serebryakov D. ↓, Krinkin O. ↑,
89', Antsiferov I. ↓, Makeev V. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Luki-Energiya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Luki-Energiya has had a series of home games.

Luki-Energiya might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cherepovets won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cherepovets
Russian Cup
10.09.25	Luki-Energiya - Cherepovets	2:4 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
07.09.25	Zenit 2 - Cherepovets	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Cherepovets - Kosmos Dolgoprudny	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Dynamo Vologda - Cherepovets	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
20.08.25	Cherepovets - Zvezda St. Petersburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLWLW
- Luki-Energiya Velikiye Luki
Russian Cup
10.09.25	Luki-Energiya - Cherepovets	2:4 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
07.09.25	Luki-Energiya - Spartak 2 Moscow	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Luki-Energiya	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Luki-Energiya - Yenisey 2	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
20.08.25	Luki-Energiya - Leningradets	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
10.09.25	Luki-Energiya - Cherepovets	2:4
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
25.05.25	Luki-Energiya - Cherepovets	1:1

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