Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Cherepovets		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	5.17	3.6	1.67	Watch
	4.75	3.4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↓ (5.17)	3.5 ↓ (3.86)	1.64 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cherepovets
18.3%

Draw
26%

Shinnik
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

25.4%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

24.7%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The chances for Shinnik have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Cherepovets - Shinnik Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cherepovets will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Shinnik will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shinnik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pyrkin A. (C) 77. Andreev M. 10. Balashov A. 7. Belyaev M. 15. Berezov D. 2. Karamyshev M. 17. Kopylov S. 11. Kulkov K. 18. Maklasov V. 5. Pichugin N. 14. Yamlikhanov R.	95. Vambolt D. (G) 27. Chernyi A. 50. Golubev A. (C) 53. Kotin N. 61. Malakhov A. 20. Martovoy D. 88. Mironov D. 23. Nafikov V. 11. Porokhov I. 6. Rukas A. 92. Shchelkunov T.
Substitutes
24. Aleksandrov G. 16. Dedelev M. (G) 37. Ermolaev N. 27. Gadzhiev D. 4. Kovalevsky D. 8. Krinkin O. 9. Makeev V. 96. Maltsev R. 21. Popov D. 20. Snegirov E. 13. Zykov M. (G)	44. Kornyushin D. 2. Kosogorov A. 8. Kul R. 55. Lystsov V. 51. Mitrov T. (G) 10. Shipunov T. 9. Stefanovich I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Porokhov I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', 1 - 1, Andreev M. ⚽,
56', 🟨,
56', 🟨,
58', Mironov D. ↓, Stefanovich I. ↑,
60', Pichugin N. 🟨,
74', 1 - 2, Stefanovich I. ⚽,
75', Kopylov S. ↓, Snegirov E. ↑,
76', 🟨,
78', Balashov A. ↓, Makeev V. ↑,
85', 1 - 3, Stefanovich I. ⚽,
87', Belyaev M. ↓, Aleksandrov G. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Cherepovets have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shinnik is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Shinnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shinnik is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cherepovets
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
21.09.25	Saturn Ramenskoye - Cherepovets	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Cherepovets - Luki-Energiya	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
10.09.25	Luki-Energiya - Cherepovets	2:4 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
07.09.25	Zenit 2 - Cherepovets	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Cherepovets - Kosmos Dolgoprudny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LWWLW
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
20.09.25	KAMAZ - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Sokol Saratov - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Shinnik - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TTWTW

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