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Current Win Probability
Ural 48.7%
Draw 29%
Shinnik 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.5%
26.5%
13.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.6%
25.2%
12.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ural's form might have worsened.
Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shinnik's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ural, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shinnik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Ural - Shinnik Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ural will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1 - Shinnik (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shinnik (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
86. Kuznetsov I. (G) 46. Mamin A. 2. Begic S. (C) 16. Italo 18. Morozov N. 21. Ivanisenia D. 6. Sungatulin F. 44. Malkevich V. 97. Ishkov I. 10. Sekulic M. 13. Akbashev R.
51. Mitrov T. (G) 44. Kornyushin D. 55. Lystsov V. 4. Bozov N. 5. Malyarov K. 50. Golubev A. 64. Lanin O. 21. Galoyan A. 15. Samoilov D. (C) 88. Mironov D. 11. Porokhov I.
Substitutes
5. Ayupov T. 4. Bardachev M. 19. Bogomolskiy E. 37. Bondarev V. 24. Filipenko E. 11. Karapuzov V. 22. Leo Cordeiro 67. Maleev Y. (G) 34. Margasov T. 20. Markov E.
27. Chernyi A. 77. Gongapshev A. 62. Karpov V. 2. Kosogorov A. 53. Kotin N. 61. Malakhov A. 23. Nafikov V. 17. Nikitin K. 95. Vambolt D. (G)
Coaches
Berezutskiy V.
Buloychik A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Golubev A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Porokhov I. ↓, Gongapshev A. ↑,
62', Samoilov D. ↓, Kosogorov A. ↑,
65', Ivanisenia D. ↓, Leo Cordeiro ↑,
68', Morozov N. ↓, Karapuzov V. ↑,
68', Ishkov I. ↓, Markov E. ↑,
79', Bozov N. ↓, Kotin N. ↑,
84', Italo ↓, Bardachev M. ↑,
87', Mironov D. ↓, Chernyi A. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural won 5.
Ural is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Shinnik is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Ural is the team to beat.
We predict that Ural will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ural won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.3:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Ural won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Russia
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Kuznetsov I. (G) 
Begic S. (C) 
Italo 
Ivanisenia D. 
Malkevich V. 
Galoyan A. 
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