Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/128-finals

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday

Location: The Meadow (Chesham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Canada	Sportsnet Now, Sportsnet Now Plus, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	ITV 4, ITV X
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Chesham United		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	7	4.75	1.4
	7.25	5	1.4
	7.5	4.75	1.38
	6.76	4.75	1.43
	7.15	4.6	1.41	Watch
	8	4.8	1.4
	7	4.75	1.43	Watch
	7.5	4.75	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.27 ↓ (14.17)	4.77 ↓ (7.35)	1.4 ↑ (1.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
13%

Draw
19.8%

Lincoln City
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.7%

12.9%

80.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesham United's performance.

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lincoln City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Chesham United - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Chesham will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Lincoln will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesham: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goode B. (G) 6. Stevens C. 17. Adebiyi C. (C) 8. Gallimore T. 3. Lafleur A. 18. Lodge A. 2. Lewis R. 4. Cawley J. 22. Esan S. 9. Minhas N. 10. Weiss M.	1. Wickens G. (G) 15. O'Connor P. (C) 2. Darikwa T. 23. Roughan S. 14. McGrandles C. 12. Ring E. 10. McKiernan J. J. 28. Moylan J. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 34. Draper F. 27. Makama J.
Substitutes
5. Brown S. 7. Clayton B. 15. Connors J. 16. Grant J. 23. Jones A. 20. Roberts C. 26. Rowe O. 13. Steinke O. (G) 19. Upward R.	9. Cadamarteri B. 3. Earley S. 11. Hamilton E. 18. House B. 16. Jefferies D. 36. Okoro Z. 38. Oliver D. 21. Pardington J. (G) 39. Parks C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Moylan J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', 0 - 2, Makama J. ⚽, Draper F. (A),
61', Lewis R. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
61', Esan S. ↓, Rowe O. ↑,
65', 0 - 3, McGrandles C. ⚽,
69', McGrandles C. ↓, Hamilton E. ↑,
69', Makama J. ↓, Cadamarteri B. ↑,
76', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
79', Gallimore T. ↓, Upward R. ↑,
80', Stevens C. ↓, Brown S. ↑,
80', Minhas N. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
80', Draper F. ↓, Okoro Z. ↑,
80', Moylan J. ↓, Earley S. ↑,
87', 0 - 4, Adebiyi C. (Own goal),

Preview

Chesham in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lincoln is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lincoln could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lincoln is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English National League South
26.10.24	Enfield Town - Chesham United	2:3 ✺
22.10.24	Chesham United - Chippenham Town	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Weymouth - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Chesham United - Yeovil Town	1:0 ✺
08.10.24	Chesham United - Bishops Cleeve	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWTWW
- Lincoln City
English League One
29.10.24	Lincoln City - Northampton Town	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Lincoln City - Stockport County	2:1 ✺
22.10.24	Crawley Town - Lincoln City	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Lincoln City - Birmingham City	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Grimsby Town - Lincoln City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLW

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