The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lincoln City 68.6%
Draw 19.8%
Northampton Town 11.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.2%
22.9%
15.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.4%
21.8%
15.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
10%
0%
Lincoln City - Northampton Town Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.25 - Northampton (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1 - Lincoln (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lincoln City will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lincoln City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Northampton (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wickens G. (C) 2. Darikwa T. 22. Hamer T. 15. Bradley S. 3. Reach A. 8. Bayliss T. 14. McGrandles C. 20. One R. 10. Moylan J. 18. House B. 34. Draper F.
34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 6. Willis J. 24. Moore E. 3. McCarthy C. 2. Burroughs J. 23. Taylor T. 4. Campbell D. 12. Guinness-Walker N. 7. Hoskins S. (C) 27. Vale J. 11. Swyer K.
Substitutes
7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 13. Jeacock Z. (G) 16. Jefferies D. 19. Lloyd A. 17. Street R. 6. Towler R. 24. Varfolomeev I.
1. Burge L. (G) 35. Dyche M. 9. Eaves T. 15. Evans J. 18. Forbes M. 14. Fornah T. 21. Perkins J.
Coaches
Skubala M.
Nolan K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, One R. ⚽, Draper F. (A),
30', Darikwa T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Moylan J. ⚽,
55', Willis J. ↓, Fornah T. ↑,
55', Draper F. ↓, Street R. ↑,
56', Vale J. 🟥,
67', Moore E. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
67', Hoskins S. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
67', Burroughs J. ↓, Perkins J. ↑,
71', Bayliss T. ↓, Varfolomeev I. ↑,
71', House B. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Varfolomeev I. ⚽, Moylan J. (A),
75', 4 - 0, Street R. ⚽,
77', McGrandles C. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
77', Moylan J. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
79', Perkins J. 🟨,
87', Swyer K. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 3.
Lincoln is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Northampton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Northampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Lincoln is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Thorn O.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Northampton: Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Lincoln: Honohan J.
(Injury)
Jackson A.
(Surgery)
There are questionable in Northampton: Edwards K.
(Injury)
Guthrie J.
(Inactive)
We predict that Lincoln will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
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Wickens G. (C) 
Darikwa T. 
McGrandles C. 
Moylan J. 
Taylor T. 
Hackett-Fairchild R. 
Varfolomeev I. 
Forbes M. 
Fornah T. 
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