Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)


	Crawley Town		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.95
	3.7	3.5	1.98
	3.6	3.4	2	Watch
	3.8	3.44	2.02
	3.71	3.37	2.01	Watch
	3.75	3.5	2
	3.7	3.58	1.99
	3.6	3.4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↓ (3.88)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	1.99 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
25.5%

Draw
27.2%

Lincoln City
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

26.9%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

26.6%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+2%)

Crawley Town - Lincoln City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Beach E. (G) 24. Mullarkey T. (C) 20. Mukena J. 5. Barker C. 22. Adeyemo A. 23. Ibrahim B. 17. Tanimu B. 19. Kelly J. 45. John-Jules T. 11. Roles J. 29. Showunmi T.	1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. 15. O'Connor P. 23. Roughan S. 6. Erhahon E. 12. Ring E. 28. Moylan J. 4. Montsma L. 11. Hamilton E. 34. Draper F. 27. Makama J.
Substitutes
6. Anderson M. 4. Bragg C. 15. Fish S. 8. Holohan G. 27. Khaleel R. 1. Wollacott J. (G)	9. Cadamarteri B. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 5. Jackson A. 16. Jefferies D. 14. McGrandles C. 10. McKiernan J. J. 21. Pardington J. (G) 29. Street R. 19. Walker T.
Coaches
Elliot R.	Skubala M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, Roles J. ⚽, Adeyemo A. (A),
13', 2 - 0, Showunmi T. ⚽,
19', 2 - 1, O'Connor P. ⚽, Moylan J. (A),
22', John-Jules T. 🟨,
39', 2 - 2, Makama J. ⚽, Darikwa T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', John-Jules T. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
46', Tanimu B. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
47', 2 - 3, Ring E. ⚽,
48', 2 - 4, Moylan J. ⚽, Ring E. (A),
70', Showunmi T. ↓, Fish S. ↑,
70', Draper F. ↓, Cadamarteri B. ↑,
71', Makama J. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
79', Moylan J. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
79', O'Connor P. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
80', Adeyemo A. ↓, Khaleel R. ↑,
82', 3 - 4, Kelly J. ⚽,
84', Ring E. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
90+5', Wickens G. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Lincoln could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lincoln will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League One
23.11.24	Crawley Town - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Bristol Rovers - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
English League One
09.11.24	Crawley Town - Huddersfield Town	2:2 ✺
05.11.24	Burton Albion - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTLTT
- Lincoln City
English League One
26.11.24	Wrexham - Lincoln City	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Lincoln City - Wycombe Wanderers	2:3 ✺
16.11.24	Exeter City - Lincoln City	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Lincoln City - Manchester City U21	5:0 ✺
English League One
09.11.24	Bristol Rovers - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
22.10.24	Crawley Town - Lincoln City	3:0
English League Two
23.03.19	Crawley Town - Lincoln City	0:3
08.09.18	Lincoln City - Crawley Town	0:1
17.02.18	Crawley Town - Lincoln City	3:1
28.10.17	Lincoln City - Crawley Town	0:0

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