Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 45

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Cheshunt		Bath City

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.35
	2.7	3.2	2.35
	2.66	3.29	2.65
	3.3	3.25	2.05
	2.68	3.34	2.49
	2.75	3.15	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (3.34)	3.22 ↓ (3.24)	2.38 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheshunt
32.9%

Draw
28.5%

Bath City
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

28.3%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

27.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheshunt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cheshunt's performance.

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bath City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheshunt than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cheshunt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bath City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cheshunt - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Bath could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cheshunt won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheshunt FC
English National League South
18.04.23	Cheshunt - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Ebbsfleet United - Cheshunt	3:0 ✺
07.04.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Cheshunt	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Cheshunt - Weymouth	1:0 ✺
21.03.23	St Albans City - Cheshunt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWT
- Bath City
English National League South
15.04.23	Bath City - Concord Rangers	4:0 ✺
10.04.23	Weymouth - Bath City	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	Bath City - Taunton Town	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Welling United - Bath City	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Bath City - St Albans City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.10.22	Bath City - Cheshunt	1:0

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