Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 21

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Welling United		Bath City

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.65
	2.55	3.1	2.75
	2.52	3.13	2.87
	2.55	3.1	2.85
	2.5	3	2.8
	2.46	3.13	2.75
	2.55	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.23)	3.08 ↓ (3.28)	2.77 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
36.8%

Draw
30%

Bath City
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.2%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

24.8%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Welling United - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Redfearn J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 18 and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Welling won 1.

Recent matches Welling is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bath is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Welling could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bath have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Welling won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13:22 (average 0.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Welling won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 0.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
29.11.24	Aveley - Welling United	1:1 ✺
26.11.24	Welling United - Tonbridge Angels	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Slough Town - Welling United	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Welling United - Havant & Waterlooville	1:2 ✺
English National League South
09.11.24	Welling United - Truro City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTWLL
- Bath City
English National League South
30.11.24	Bath City - Boreham Wood	1:2 ✺
26.11.24	Bath City - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Eastbourne Borough - Bath City	1:0 ✺
19.11.24	Bath City - Maidstone United	3:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Bath City - Chertsey Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
17.08.24	Bath City - Welling United	1:0
23.12.23	Bath City - Welling United	4:0
09.09.23	Welling United - Bath City	0:1
25.03.23	Welling United - Bath City	1:0
02.12.22	Bath City - Welling United	1:1
12.03.22	Welling United - Bath City	1:1
06.11.21	Bath City - Welling United	3:1

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