Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 41

Date: 18 April 2023, Tuesday


	Cheshunt		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.4	3.4	1.9
	3.28	3.25	2.21
	3.6	3.3	1.91
	3.2	3.38	2.14
	3.15	3.25	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (4.24)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	2.05 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheshunt
27.6%

Draw
27.7%

Chelmsford City
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

26.9%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

26.7%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheshunt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cheshunt's performance.

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelmsford City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheshunt than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cheshunt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelmsford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cheshunt - Chelmsford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Cheshunt is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chelmsford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chelmsford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Chelmsford will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cheshunt won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheshunt FC
English National League South
15.04.23	Ebbsfleet United - Cheshunt	3:0 ✺
07.04.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Cheshunt	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Cheshunt - Weymouth	1:0 ✺
21.03.23	St Albans City - Cheshunt	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Oxford City - Cheshunt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWTL
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
15.04.23	Chelmsford City - Hungerford Town	5:1 ✺
10.04.23	Oxford City - Chelmsford City	3:1 ✺
07.04.23	Chelmsford City - Farnborough	3:2 ✺
25.03.23	Dartford - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Chelmsford City - Worthing	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
08.10.22	Chelmsford City - Cheshunt	2:0
English FA Trophy
27.11.21	Chelmsford City - Cheshunt	1:2

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