Match Info

League Two - Round 44

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield)

Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Chesterfield		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.7
	2.8	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.81	3.42	2.52
	2.75	3.3	2.51	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.75
	2.77	3.32	2.46	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.68)	3.31 (3.31)	2.54 (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
34.6%

Draw
28.3%

Bradford City
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

28.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

27.6%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Chesterfield - Bradford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Bradford will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Bradford (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Chesterfield (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Bradford (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Boot R. (G) 7. Mandeville L. 21. Palmer A. 25. McFadzean K. 6. Araujo H. 34. Olakigbe M. 13. Fleck J. 26. Metcalfe J. 4. Naylor T. (C) 11. Colclough R. 9. Grigg W.	1. Walker S. (G) 15. Baldwin A. 24. Shepherd J. 5. Byrne N. 2. Halliday B. 11. Khela B. 16. Pattison A. 45. Adaramola T. 10. Sarcevic A. 8. Kavanagh C. (C) 23. Pointon B.
Substitutes
18. Duffy D. 19. Gordon L. 5. Grimes J. 33. Madden P. 8. Oldaker D. 27. Pepple A. 1. Thompson M. (G)	30. Crichlow-Noble R. 25. Hilton J. (G) 20. Huntington P. 32. Lapslie G. 37. Leigh T. 7. Walker J. 17. Wright T.
Coaches
Cook P.	Alexander G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Pointon B. ⚽, Pattison A. (A),
19', 0 - 2, Sarcevic A. (Pen),
30', McFadzean K. 🟨,
33', Mandeville L. 🟨,
43', Pattison A. 🟨,
45', Colclough R. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Metcalfe J. ⚽, Olakigbe M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 3, Pattison A. ⚽, Adaramola T. (A),
58', Khela B. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
63', Araujo H. 🟨,
66', McFadzean K. ↓, Grimes J. ↑,
66', Araujo H. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
71', 2 - 3, Grigg W. ⚽, Metcalfe J. (A),
74', Colclough R. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
75', Walker S. 🟨,
80', Baldwin A. ↓, Huntington P. ↑,
80', Sarcevic A. ↓, Leigh T. ↑,
81', Kavanagh C. ↓, Crichlow-Noble R. ↑,
81', Palmer A. ↓, Madden P. ↑,
81', Fleck J. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
89', Adaramola T. ↓, Wright T. ↑,
90+1', Shepherd J. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 3, Mandeville L. ⚽,
90+4', Olakigbe M. 🟨,
90+8', Walker J. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Chesterfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Chesterfield: Daley-Campbell V. (Hamstring Injury) Dobra A. (Injury) Donacien J. (Hamstring Injury) Dunkley C. (Neck Injury) Jones M. (Injury) Sheckleford R. (Calf Injury) Williams T. (Injury)

There will not play in Bradford: Cook A. (Knee Injury) Richards L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Chesterfield: Hobson B. (Injury) Oldaker D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bradford: Kelly C. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11:18 (average 0.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.3:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Bradford City - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.81%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English League Two
18.04.25	AFC Wimbledon - Chesterfield	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Chesterfield - Fleetwood Town	3:0 ✺
08.04.25	Chesterfield - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Tranmere Rovers - Chesterfield	4:0 ✺
01.04.25	Chesterfield - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWTLW
- Bradford City
English League Two
17.04.25	Bradford City - Notts County	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Swindon Town - Bradford City	5:4 ✺
05.04.25	Bradford City - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Port Vale - Bradford City	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Accrington Stanley - Bradford City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
29.12.24	Bradford City - Chesterfield	2:1
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Chesterfield - Bradford City	3:0
27.07.21	Chesterfield - Bradford City	2:1
English FA Cup
04.11.17	Bradford City - Chesterfield	2:0
English EFL Trophy
29.08.17	Chesterfield - Bradford City	2:4
English League One
07.01.17	Bradford City - Chesterfield	2:0
01.10.16	Chesterfield - Bradford City	0:1

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