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Current Win Probability
Chesterfield 58.1%
Draw 24.7%
Gillingham 17.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.1%
23.7%
16.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.5%
22.8%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Chesterfield - Gillingham Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Boot R. (G) 33. Hutton R. 5. McFadzean K. (C) 6. Simpson J. 19. Gordon L. 8. Stirk R. 20. McEachran G. 24. Markanday D. 7. Mandeville L. 37. Koroma J. 10. Bonis L.
1. Wright O. (G) 5. Smith A. 19. Beckles O. (C) 26. Dobbs L. 22. Freeman N. 24. Waldock H. 14. McKenzie R. 3. McManus C. 16. Brophy J. 10. Hale R. 11. Sillah L.
Substitutes
9. Bryden F. 26. Eccleston J. 30. Lamptey R. 18. Marsh L. 4. Naylor T. 2. Owolabi-Belewu M. 15. Pond A.
17. Antwi C. 30. Booth S. 20. Daley J. 9. Goodwin W. 13. Holtam T. (G) 18. Kendall S. 12. McCleary G.
Coaches
Cook P.
Ainsworth G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Koroma J. ⚽,
29', Dobbs L. 🟨,
31', McFadzean K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Hale R. ⚽,
65', Sillah L. ↓, Goodwin W. ↑,
71', Hale R. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
75', McKenzie R. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
76', McEachran G. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
76', Koroma J. ↓, Marsh L. ↑,
77', Bonis L. ↓, Bryden F. ↑,
90+5', Hutton R. ↓, Eccleston J. ↑,
90+5', Goodwin W. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 1.
Chesterfield is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Gillingham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Chesterfield has had a series of away games.
In this match, Chesterfield is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Chesterfield: Dickson W.
(Inactive)
Duffy D.
(Inactive)
Pearce T.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Gillingham: Coleman E.
(Inactive)
Harris K.
(Inactive)
Little A.
(Inactive)
Maclorg L.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Hemming Z.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Dack B.
(Inactive)
Gordon L.
(Inactive)
Tabares S.
(Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
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Boot R. (G) 
Gordon L. 
Stirk R. 
Koroma J. 
Bonis L. 
Beckles O. (C) 
McManus C. 
Sillah L. 
Owolabi-Belewu M. 
Kendall S. 
McCleary G. 
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