Match Info

League Two - Round 43

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Valley Parade (Bradford)

Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bradford City		Notts County

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.6	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.4
	2.1	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.12	3.34	3.63
	2.22	3.12	3.4
	2.15	3.25	3.3
	2.1	3.26	3.48	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.94)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	3.48 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford City
44.4%

Draw
28.6%

Notts County
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

27.5%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.2%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.2%	11.1%	3.7%

Bradford City - Notts County Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Bradford City will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bradford City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Walker S. (G) 5. Byrne N. 24. Shepherd J. 18. Kelly C. 2. Halliday B. 16. Pattison A. (C) 11. Khela B. 45. Adaramola T. 10. Sarcevic A. 23. Pointon B. 8. Kavanagh C.	21. Slocombe S. (G) 3. McDonald R. 5. Platt M. 4. Bedeau J. 25. Tsaroulla N. 33. Abbott G. 18. Palmer M. (C) 11. Grant C. 17. McGoldrick D. 10. Jones J. 29. Jatta A.
Substitutes
15. Baldwin A. 25. Hilton J. (G) 20. Huntington P. 32. Lapslie G. 26. Mellon M. 7. Walker J. 17. Wright T.	22. Edwards C. 6. Hinchy J. 36. Jarvis W. 28. Macari L. 30. Miller T. (G) 7. Traore M. 16. Whitaker C.
Coaches
Alexander G.	Maynard S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Platt M. 🟨,
45', Palmer M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', McDonald R. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Kelly C. ⚽, Khela B. (A),
66', Jones J. ↓, Whitaker C. ↑,
67', Grant C. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
67', Sarcevic A. ↓, Baldwin A. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Abbott G. (A),
75', Halliday B. 🟨,
79', Shepherd J. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
80', Kavanagh C. ↓, Mellon M. ↑,
85', Pattison A. 🟨,
90+1', Kelly C. ↓, Huntington P. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bradford won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bradford will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bradford: Cook A. (Knee Injury) Richards L. (Injury) Smallwood R. (Red Card)

There will not play in Notts County: Ness L. (Hamstring Injury) Robertson S. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Notts County: Austin S. (Injury) Bass A. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bradford won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:15 (average 0.7:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bradford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford City
English League Two
12.04.25	Swindon Town - Bradford City	5:4 ✺
05.04.25	Bradford City - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Port Vale - Bradford City	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Accrington Stanley - Bradford City	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Bradford City - Colchester United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLTW
- Notts County
English League Two
11.04.25	Notts County - Salford City	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Colchester United - Notts County	1:0 ✺
02.04.25	Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Newport County - Notts County	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Notts County - Crewe Alexandra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
21.12.24	Notts County - Bradford City	3:0
19.03.24	Bradford City - Notts County	0:3
18.11.23	Notts County - Bradford City	4:2
English League One
14.03.15	Notts County - Bradford City	1:1
28.12.14	Bradford City - Notts County	1:0
01.01.14	Notts County - Bradford City	3:0
26.11.13	Bradford City - Notts County	1:1

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