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Current Win Probability
Chicago Fire II 40.8%
Draw 22.7%
New England Revolution II 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.1%
24.2%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.8%
23.3%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chicago Fire II's form might have worsened.
New England Revolution II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New England Revolution II's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Fire II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution II than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New England Revolution II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chicago Fire II - New England Revolution II Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago Fire II (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Chicago Fire II (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago Fire II (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
80. Stechnij P. (G) 53. Soudan P. 43. Oyegunle O. 66. Nagle C. 54. Kanyane G. 47. Williams S. 45. Osorio H. 48. Fleming R. 27. Borso D. 28. Boltz D. 68. Hlyut V.
13. Gunn J. (G) 30. McIntosh D. 50. Mussenden J. 6. Dahlin G. 3. Barry H. 35. Oliveira C. 31. Klein E. 32. Fry M. 39. Marcos Dias 11. Diarbian G. 9. Butts L.
Substitutes
70. Los P. (G) 90. Molenda D. (G) 49. Montiel J. 44. Shokalook J. 46. Zapata Calle J.
8. Buck J. 48. Chapman J. (G) 20. Hutchinson D. 53. Prajapati A. 47. Siqueira J. 17. Tsicoulias M. 40. Wells M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Oliveira C. ⚽, Butts L. (A),
6', 0 - 2, Fry M. ⚽,
11', 1 - 2, Borso D. (Pen),
27', 2 - 2, Oyegunle O. ⚽, Osorio H. (A),
37', 2 - 3, Butts L. ⚽, McIntosh D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 4, Butts L. ⚽, Fry M. (A),
57', Williams S. ↓, Shokalook J. ↑,
58', Boltz D. ↓, Tchetchao D. ↑,
73', McIntosh D. 🟨,
73', Barry H. ↓, Buck J. ↑,
73', Fry M. ↓, Prajapati A. ↑,
73', Diarbian G. ↓, Tsicoulias M. ↑,
76', Shokalook J. 🟨,
77', Hlyut V. ↓, Montiel J. ↑,
78', Kanyane G. ↓, Zapata Calle J. ↑,
86', Butts L. ↓, Hutchinson D. ↑,
86', 3 - 4, Fleming R. ⚽, Zapata Calle J. (A), Osorio H. (A2)
90+1', Buck J. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 2.
Chicago Fire II is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
New England II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Chicago Fire II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, New England II has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 2:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago Fire II won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 2.8:2).
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Stechnij P. (G) 
Oyegunle O. 
Kanyane G. 
Osorio H. 
Gunn J. (G) 
Dahlin G. 
Barry H. 
Marcos Dias 
Butts L. 
Montiel J. 
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