The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pisa 62.4%
Draw 22.4%
SPAL 15.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.1%
23.6%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.9%
23.3%
16.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.3%
8.7%
13%
Pisa - SPAL Predictions
Users Predictions:
Pisa will win
(18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%). Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% โ 95.12%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Pisa has the most likely position - 9 (26.68%), project points - 49, currently - 47, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (20%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (62.14%), project points - 36, currently - 35, already of relegated.
This event has small quality29, very small importance4, small match rating16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pisa won 3.
Pisa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
SPAL is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Pisa is certain favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Pisa won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-3.
Italy
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