Match Info

Date: 21 September 2021, Tuesday


	Chippenham Town		Poole Town

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.5	4	5.2
	1.54	4.08	5.48
	1.57	3.95	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.37)	4.09 ↓ (4.73)	5.43 ↓ (6.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
60.8%

Draw
22.3%

Poole Town
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

19.3%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.8%

16.3%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chippenham Town's form might have worsened.

Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chippenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

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Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 1-1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Chippenham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chippenham is certain favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Chippenham won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Chippenham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English National League South
11.09.21	Chippenham Town - Chelmsford City	2:3 ✺
04.09.21	St Albans City - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
30.08.21	Chippenham Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0 ✺
28.08.21	Slough Town - Chippenham Town	0:1 ✺
14.08.21	Dulwich Hamlet - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWWT
- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
14.09.21	Poole Town - Taunton Town	2:2 ✺
11.09.21	Metropolitan Police - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
30.08.21	Poole Town - Dorchester Town	1:0 ✺
28.08.21	Harrow Borough - Poole Town	0:4 ✺
21.08.21	Poole Town - Farnborough	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
30.01.18	Poole Town - Chippenham Town	2:0
15.08.17	Chippenham Town - Poole Town	0:1
English FA Cup
17.09.16	Chippenham Town - Poole Town	4:1
English Southern Premier League
17.11.15	Chippenham Town - Poole Town	0:1
18.08.15	Poole Town - Chippenham Town	1:3
04.04.15	Chippenham Town - Poole Town	1:0
20.01.15	Poole Town - Chippenham Town	3:1

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