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Current Win Probability
Chippenham Town 23.6%
Draw 25.9%
Poole Town 50.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28%
26.3%
45.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.3%
25.7%
46.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Chippenham Town - Poole Town Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Poole (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Goodship B. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Touray E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 3, Saied S. ⚽,
71', 0 - 4, Goodship B. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', 1 - 4, Haines L. ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 21st in the Relegation and 1st in the Promotion - National League South).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chippenham won 2.
Chippenham is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Poole is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Poole could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Poole for this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Chippenham has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:14 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chippenham against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:5 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Poole
13
9
1
3
24:15
9
28
22
Chippenham
12
2
3
7
11:25
-14
9
Last Results with these Odds
Chippenham Town - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 28.01%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Poole Town - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 45.71%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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