Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Akron (Zapopan)

Referee: Guarneros Lezama A. C. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Tubi TV
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox


	Chivas Guadalajara		Puebla

	1	X	2
	1.05	9.2	21
	1.04	13.51	26.51
	1.84	3.33	4.32	Watch
	1.06	11	26
	1.06	8	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.06)	9.01 ↑ (8)	18.97 ↑ (17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chivas Guadalajara
83.5%

Draw
11.2%

Puebla
5.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.7%

11.1%

5.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Espino C. (G) 22. Castro D. 24. Cervantes A. 3. Godinez D. 20. Gonzalez Rendon I. A. 4. Guzman K. 10. Iturbide A. 8. Jaramillo C. 27. Lopez A. 7. Montero C. (C) 9. Valenzuela G.	1. Machuca Rubio S. G. (G) 26. De Alba L. 6. Fernandez L. 3. Garcia M. 15. Gonzalez J. 22. Lopez Roque I. S. 16. Martinez D. 12. Martinez L. 23. Rodriguez C. 4. Sanchez L. 21. Villegas Aguilar R. I. (C)
Substitutes
34. Aguirre Z. (G) 19. Delgado D. 15. Esquivias I. 11. Franco Y. 21. Lopez S. 25. Montoya J. 30. Salazar E. 13. Sandoval Trejo D. G. 26. Torres A. 17. Villarreal N.	75. Acosta Morales M. D. (G) 14. Cruz L. 18. Gonzalez J. 7. Rojas S. 24. Silva V. 25. Suarez P. 2. Vivanco Escamilla S. X.
Coaches
Contreras A.	Morales C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Martinez L. 🟨,
40', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Fernandez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gonzalez Rendon I. A. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
58', Lopez Roque I. S. ↓, Vivanco Escamilla S. X. ↑,
62', Guzman K. ↓, Franco Y. ↑,
62', Lopez A. ↓, Salazar E. ↑,
67', 🟨,
73', De Alba L. 🟨,
74', Rodriguez C. ↓, Cruz L. ↑,
74', Iturbide A. ↓, Villarreal N. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Jaramillo C. ⚽,
84', Martinez L. ↓, Suarez P. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 4.

Guadalajara is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Puebla's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Guadalajara is the obvious favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:5. (average 2:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:1. (average 2:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chivas Guadalajara Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
05.10.25	Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM	4:3 ✺
30.09.25	Mazatlan - Chivas Guadalajara	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Club America - Chivas Guadalajara	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Club León - Chivas Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWW
- Puebla FC Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
05.10.25	Puebla - Tigres UANL	0:3 ✺
29.09.25	Santos Laguna - Puebla	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Puebla - Cruz Azul	0:3 ✺
11.09.25	Querétaro - Puebla	1:1 ✺
08.09.25	Necaxa - Puebla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
30.03.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla	3:0
06.08.24	Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara	0:1
25.01.24	Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1
23.07.23	Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla	2:0
10.02.23	Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla	2:1
11.09.22	Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara	2:3
21.03.22	Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla	1:0

Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide