Match Info

Date: 2 October 2022, Sunday

Location: IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium (Chonburi)


	Chonburi		Nongbua Pitchaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	4	5.5
	1.55	3.5	4.8
	1.48	3.9	5.6
	1.5	4.14	7.04
	1.62	3.3	4.8
	1.52	4	5.75	Watch
	1.5	4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.42)	3.83 ↓ (4)	5.61 ↓ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chonburi
60%

Draw
23.8%

Nongbua Pitchaya
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

22.3%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

20.7%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chonburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Nongbua Pitchaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chonburi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Chonburi - Nongbua Pitchaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Chonburi will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Nongbua Pitchaya will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chonburi: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).

Chonburi is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nongbua Pitchaya has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nongbua Pitchaya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chonburi is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chonburi to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chonburi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Chonburi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chonburi FC
Thai League 1
17.09.22	Muangthong United - Chonburi	1:5 ✺
10.09.22	Chonburi - Prachuap	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Lamphun Warriors - Chonburi	0:2 ✺
31.08.22	Chonburi - Pathum United	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Chonburi - Buriram United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWWL
- Nongbua Pitchaya FC
Thai League 1
18.09.22	Nongbua Pitchaya - Thai Port	0:0 ✺
10.09.22	Nakhon Ratchasima - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:1 ✺
02.09.22	Nongbua Pitchaya - Ratchaburi	0:2 ✺
28.08.22	Chiangrai United - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:0 ✺
20.08.22	Nongbua Pitchaya - Bangkok United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
15.01.22	Nongbua Pitchaya - Chonburi	3:2
18.09.21	Chonburi - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:1

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