The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic 4.8%
Draw 11.6%
Guangzhou Evergrande 83.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
9.5%
18.8%
71.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.5%
8.3%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangzhou Evergrande's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic than the current prediction. (+16.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-51.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangzhou Evergrande, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Chongqing will win (votes: 12 - 48%). Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 12 - 48%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chongqing: 28.4% – 67.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3
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Preview
Neutral location.
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Second stage) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Second stage)).
Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic has the most likely position - 10 (100%), has project points - 36, has currently - 36, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.
Guangzhou Evergrande has the most likely position - 1 (100%), has project points - 72, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, was already of win league.
Recent matches Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Guangzhou Evergrande is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Guangzhou Evergrande is certain favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-28.
Including matches at home between the teams Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.
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