Match Info

League One - Round 28

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Tongliang Long Stadium (Chongqing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Chongqing Tongliang Long		Shijiazhuang Gongfu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.85	5.5	Watch
	1.64	4.08	4.58	Watch
	1.51	4.06	6.24	Watch
	1.65	3.8	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.52)	3.95 ↑ (3.7)	5.23 ↓ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chongqing Tongliang Long
58.9%

Draw
23.4%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

24.2%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

26.1%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shijiazhuang Gongfu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yao Haoyang (G) 24. Liu Mingshi 38. Ruan Qilong 4. Sadauskas R. 3. Zhang Yingkai 26. He Xiaoqiang 8. Li Zhenquan 14. Huang Xiyang 16. Zhang Zhixiong 9. Leonardo 7. Xiang Yuwang (C)	31. Luan Yi (C) 25. Kurban I. 33. Dankler 19. Liu H. 36. Yang Yun 20. Liu Le 18. Du Zhixuan 14. Ma Chongchong 42. Feng Zhuoyi 8. Ayovi J. 45. Zhao Z.
Substitutes
30. Bai Yutao 40. Carrillo J. 33. Cheng Yetong 5. Huang X. 22. Ma Yujun 17. Ng Y. H. 21. Song Pan 15. Tong Zhicheng 2. Wang Wenxuan 27. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 23. Zhang Haixuan (G)	10. An Yifei 2. Deng Jiajie 27. Gao Huaze 44. Gonzalez E. 26. Jingrui J. (G) 28. Li Jingrun 5. Liu Y. 1. Nie Xuran (G) 17. Sun Weizhe 29. Wang Jingbin 24. Yu Joy-yin 11. Zhu Haiwei
Coaches
Chang Woe-Ryong	Hongli N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Ruan Qilong 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Liu Le 🟨,
69', Zhao Z. 🟨,
72', Zhao Z. ↓, Gao Huaze ↑,
72', Liu Le ↓, Wang Jingbin ↑,
73', Huang Xiyang ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
78', Du Zhixuan ↓, An Yifei ↑,
89', Leonardo 🟨,
90+2', Dankler 🟨,
90+7', Wang Jingbin 🟨,
90+11', Ma Chongchong ↓, Zhu Haiwei ↑,
90+11', Ayovi J. ↓, Deng Jiajie ↑,
90+12', Zhang Yingkai 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 5).

Chongqing has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shijiazhuang Gongfu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Chongqing is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chongqing won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chongqing won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Jia League
18.10.25	Dalian Kun City - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Foshan Nanshi	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Yanbian Longding - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:0 ✺
21.09.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLL
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
18.10.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Shenzhen Juniors	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:3 ✺
26.09.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
21.06.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:1
13.10.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0
02.06.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	2:1
Chinese FA Cup
31.05.23	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	3:0

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