Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 35

Date: 20 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Victory Park (Chorley)


	Chorley		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.6
	2.45	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.41	3.25	2.64
	2.5	3.22	2.88
	2.43	3.24	2.74
	2.44	3.15	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.7)	3.21 ↓ (3.42)	2.71 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chorley
37.6%

Draw
28.6%

Tamworth
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

26.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

25.8%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tamworth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tamworth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chorley - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chorley won 2.

Recent matches Chorley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tamworth is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tamworth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Chorley have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Chorley won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Chorley won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chorley
English National League North
17.02.24	Chorley - Southport	3:0 ✺
13.02.24	Chorley - Spennymoor Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.02.24	Chorley - Solihull Moors	1:3 ✺
English National League North
06.02.24	Chorley - Gloucester City	3:1 ✺
03.02.24	Warrington Town - Chorley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL
- Tamworth
English National League North
17.02.24	Hereford - Tamworth	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Tamworth - Farsley	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Alfreton Town - Tamworth	0:0 ✺
30.01.24	Scunthorpe United - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Tamworth - Spennymoor Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
05.09.23	Tamworth - Chorley	2:1
21.04.18	Tamworth - Chorley	3:4
31.10.17	Chorley - Tamworth	1:1
17.12.16	Chorley - Tamworth	1:1
03.09.16	Tamworth - Chorley	0:1
02.04.16	Tamworth - Chorley	2:1
30.01.16	Chorley - Tamworth	1:1

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