Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 34

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Edgar Street (Hereford)


	Hereford		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.05
	3.3	3.3	2.1
	3.05	3.25	2.13
	3.57	3.24	2.13
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	3.31	3.52	2.07
	3.15	3.2	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.17)	3.27 ↓ (3.43)	2.08 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hereford
28%

Draw
28%

Tamworth
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

26.6%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

26.1%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Hereford - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hereford won 1.

Recent matches Hereford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tamworth is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tamworth will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hereford won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Hereford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English FA Trophy
10.02.24	Hereford - Gateshead	0:1 ✺
English National League North
03.02.24	Hereford - Blyth Spartans	5:2 ✺
30.01.24	Hereford - South Shields	0:3 ✺
27.01.24	Darlington - Hereford	2:0 ✺
23.01.24	Rushall Olympic - Hereford	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLLW
- Tamworth
English National League North
10.02.24	Tamworth - Farsley	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Alfreton Town - Tamworth	0:0 ✺
30.01.24	Scunthorpe United - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Tamworth - Spennymoor Town	2:0 ✺
23.01.24	Tamworth - Boston United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
28.08.23	Tamworth - Hereford	4:0
English FA Cup
08.10.19	Hereford - Tamworth	0:0
05.10.19	Tamworth - Hereford	0:0
English National League
18.04.14	Tamworth - Hereford	1:0
24.08.13	Hereford - Tamworth	1:0
01.04.13	Hereford - Tamworth	5:2
14.08.12	Tamworth - Hereford	N/A

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