Match Info

Date: 12 April 2022, Tuesday


	Chorley		York City

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.12	3.38	3.37
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.11	3.34	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.97)	3.25 ↓ (3.38)	3.09 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chorley
42.4%

Draw
28.1%

York City
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.2%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chorley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Chorley - York City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chorley won 3.

Recent matches Chorley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

York is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Chorley won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Chorley won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chorley
English National League North
09.04.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Chorley	0:0 ✺
05.04.22	Chorley - Boston United	2:1 ✺
02.04.22	Chorley - Guiseley	2:0 ✺
26.03.22	Kettering Town - Chorley	2:1 ✺
22.03.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Chorley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWLT
- York City
English National League North
09.04.22	Brackley Town - York City	1:0 ✺
05.04.22	Kettering Town - York City	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
02.04.22	Bromley - York City	3:1 ✺
English National League North
26.03.22	York City - Leamington	1:0 ✺
22.03.22	York City - Boston United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
11.12.21	York City - Chorley	1:1
English FA Cup
13.10.20	Chorley - York City	1:0
English National League North
06.10.20	York City - Chorley	3:1
26.01.19	York City - Chorley	1:4
04.08.18	Chorley - York City	1:0
31.03.18	York City - Chorley	1:1
02.09.17	Chorley - York City	2:0

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