The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Châteauroux 28.3%
Draw 28.1%
Ajaccio 43.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
30.4%
39.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.5%
22.1%
54.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Châteauroux that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajaccio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Châteauroux - Ajaccio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).
Châteauroux is Relegated to
Châteauroux has the most likely position - 20 (100%), has project points - 23, has currently - 22, was already of relegated.
Ajaccio has the most likely position - 12 (24.84%), has project points - 46, has currently - 45, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of promoted.
Châteauroux has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Ajaccio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ajaccio will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Châteauroux won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.
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