Match Info

Date: 4 April 2022, Monday


	Nancy		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.75	2.37	Watch
	3.6	2.8	2.3
	3.45	2.85	2.28	Watch
	3.45	2.7	2.31
	3.79	2.82	2.41
	3.6	2.7	2.3	Watch
	3.8	2.69	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (3.74)	2.76 ↓ (2.77)	2.34 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nancy
26.1%

Draw
33.9%

Ajaccio
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

33.7%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

33.1%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Nancy - Ajaccio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion)).

Nancy has the most likely position - 20 (80.02%), has project points - 32, has currently - 23, has a good chance of relegated (95%), has not chance of promoted.

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 3 (27.59%), has project points - 67, has currently - 55, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of promoted (31%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 24, importance 47, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nancy won 0.

Nancy is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ajaccio is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ajaccio will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Nancy won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Nancy won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
19.03.22	Guingamp - Nancy	3:1 ✺
15.03.22	Nancy - Paris FC	3:0 ✺
12.03.22	Amiens - Nancy	1:0 ✺
05.03.22	Nancy - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
26.02.22	Le Havre - Nancy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLLL
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
19.03.22	Ajaccio - Nîmes	1:0 ✺
15.03.22	Quevilly - Ajaccio	0:0 ✺
12.03.22	Ajaccio - Bastia	0:1 ✺
05.03.22	Niort - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
26.02.22	Ajaccio - Rodez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
23.10.21	Ajaccio - Nancy	2:0
20.04.21	Nancy - Ajaccio	2:0
18.12.20	Ajaccio - Nancy	1:0
18.10.19	Ajaccio - Nancy	0:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
27.08.19	Nancy - Ajaccio	1:0
French Ligue 2
26.04.19	Nancy - Ajaccio	1:0
04.12.18	Ajaccio - Nancy	1:1

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