Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 12

Date: 6 November 2023, Monday


	Niort		Red Star

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.1
	3.2	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.41	3.4	2.21
	3.41	3.33	2.22
	3	3.25	2.05
	3.18	3.36	2.13	Watch
	3.05	3.2	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.48)	3.29 ↑ (2.94)	2.15 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niort
29%

Draw
28%

Red Star
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

31.4%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

31.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Niort's form might have worsened.

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Star's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Niort, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	20%	50%

Niort - Red Star Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Niort will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Red Star will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delecroix P. (G) 26. Benchama S. 2. Bernard Q. 21. Bouekou N. 11. Cisse S. I. 14. Durivaux D. 5. Ecuele Manga B. 19. Elphege N. 9. Inchaud M. 17. Renel S. 7. Zemzemi M.	1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 29. Benali H. 11. Cisse K. 26. Dembi F. J. 13. Doucoure F. 21. El Hriti A. 3. Hachem R. 10. Ifnaoui M. 28. Kouagba L. 2. Meyapya B. 25. Ndoye C.
Substitutes
25. Anaba R. 28. El Hassani N. 20. El Kaddouri B. 40. Mbeubap J. (G) 24. Tormin T.	27. Anani A. 16. Avognan W. (G) 17. Botella I. 7. Durand D. 23. Ikanga J.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Niort won 4.

Recent matches Niort is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Red Star is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Niort could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Red Star will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Niort won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 3
20.10.23	Orleans - Niort	4:2 ✺
11.10.23	Niort - Versailles	1:0 ✺
06.10.23	Nîmes - Niort	1:0 ✺
29.09.23	Niort - Dijon	3:0 ✺
22.09.23	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Niort	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLWW
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
23.10.23	Red Star - Cholet	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Nancy - Red Star	1:1 ✺
06.10.23	Red Star - Villefranche	2:0 ✺
02.10.23	Châteauroux - Red Star	1:2 ✺
22.09.23	Red Star - Avranches	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
17.05.19	Niort - Red Star	1:0
27.07.18	Red Star - Niort	1:2
24.02.17	Niort - Red Star	2:3
23.09.16	Red Star - Niort	0:1
15.04.16	Red Star - Niort	0:2
27.11.15	Niort - Red Star	0:0

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