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Current Win Probability
Cienciano 76.1%
Draw 21%
Sport Huancayo 3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
27.1%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
27.7%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cienciano's performance.
Sport Huancayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sport Huancayo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-30.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cienciano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (+24.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sport Huancayo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
75%
0%
Cienciano - Sport Huancayo Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Bolado J. (G) 26. Palomino R. 4. Amondarain M. 6. Galeano L. 27. Ortiz J. 14. Torrejon C. (C) 22. Neira C. 11. La Torre D. 10. Cueva C. 28. Cavero S. 17. Noronha O.
12. Zamudio A. (G) 20. Madrid J. 4. Barreda J. 25. Perez A. 2. Angeles H. 38. Villar E. 22. Salcedo R. 28. Fernandez E. 10. Lujan N. 11. Sanguinetti J. 9. de Jesus M.
Substitutes
5. Arias Fierro S. D. 19. Ascues A. 29. Barrios I. (G) 7. Estrada J. 25. Gentile G. 16. Ibanez P. 55. Ramua A. 32. Rodriguez H. 9. Romagnoli J.
16. Barboza S. 80. Carabano D. 7. Carranza M. 8. Herrera J. 19. Huaccha R. 18. Huayhua C. 23. Magallanes P. 89. Posito J. 33. Solis C. (G)
Coaches
Desio C.
Pellejero R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Cueva C. ⚽, Neira C. (A),
15', Ortiz J. 🟨,
33', Fernandez E. 🟨,
35', Barreda J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Neira C. ↓, Arias Fierro S. D. ↑,
50', Salcedo R. 🟨,
60', Lujan N. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
60', Fernandez E. ↓, Magallanes P. ↑,
60', Galeano L. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
61', Cavero S. ↓, Romagnoli J. ↑,
63', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
70', 2 - 0, Cueva C. ⚽, La Torre D. (A),
71', Cueva C. ↓, Ramua A. ↑,
73', Salcedo R. ↓, Posito J. ↑,
78', Ortiz J. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
82', Sanguinetti J. ↓, Carranza M. ↑,
83', de Jesus M. ↓, Huaccha R. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Magallanes P. ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
87', Barreda J. 🟨,
88', Zamudio A. 🟨,
90+5', Angeles H. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cienciano won 4.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Cienciano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Cienciano have a series of guest games.
Cienciano will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Cienciano: Arias Fierro S. D.
(Red Card)
Benites Vargas L. E.
(Red Card)
Garces C.
(Red Card)
Valoyes J.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Huancayo: Ccorahua A.
(Abdominal strain)
There are questionable in Cienciano: Gonzalez A.
(Muscle Injury)
Ibanez P.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Huancayo: Gaona M.
(Injury)
Last 19 head-to-head matches Cienciano won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 19:23 (average 1:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Cienciano won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:9 (average 0.9:0.8).
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Bolado J. (G) 
Palomino R. 
Amondarain M. 
Ortiz J. 
de Jesus M. 
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