The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cienciano 52.3%
Draw 24.9%
Deportivo Garcilaso 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
26.8%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
27%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cienciano's performance.
Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Garcilaso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cienciano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Garcilaso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
0%
81.8%
Cienciano - Deportivo Garcilaso Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Garcilaso: 59% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Falcon G. (G) 22. Cabello C. 4. Amondarain M. 3. Becerra K. 16. Martinich M. 88. Barreto G. 29. Robles A. 7. Souza Espana C. 10. Hohberg A. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 21. Garces C. (C)
1. Zubczuk P. (C) 55. Canales E. 2. Salazar A. 19. Gomez A. 23. Moreno X. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 8. Gonzalez A. 11. Arancibia F. 10. Sandoval K. 30. Da Silva B. 24. Olivares C.
Substitutes
26. Aguilar R. 8. Aguirre G. 11. Bandiera N. 39. Caparo H. 14. Cavero S. 31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 18. La Torre D. 19. Succar M. 27. Yovera A.
27. Ascues A. 31. Barbieri J. (G) 9. Castelli F. 6. Flores C. M. 35. Mendoza J. 22. Portales J. 17. Ramirez S. 20. Rosell Delgado J. A. 33. Villacorta S.
Coaches
Melgarejo H.
Greppo L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Arancibia F. 🟨,
7', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
13', Salazar A. 🟨,
30', Barreto G. 🟨,
31', Da Silva B. 🟨,
41', Da Silva B. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Barreto G. ↓, Bandiera N. ↑,
46', Souza Espana C. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
63', Olivares C. ↓, Castelli F. ↑,
63', Sandoval K. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
68', Succar M. 🟥,
71', Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 🟨,
84', Robles A. ↓, Caparo H. ↑,
84', Hohberg A. ↓, La Torre D. ↑,
87', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Deportivo Garcilaso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
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Falcon G. (G) 
Cabello C. 
Becerra K. 
Martinich M. 
Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 
Arancibia F. 
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