Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 10 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)


	Independiente Medellín		Universidad César Vallejo

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	7	Watch
	1.49	4	6.75
	1.47	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.49	4.3	7.2
	1.48	4.31	6.7
	1.4	4	7.5	Watch
	1.48	4.15	6.74	Watch
	1.46	4.1	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.49)	4.16 ↑ (4.15)	6.87 ↑ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Medellín
63.9%

Draw
22.5%

Universidad César Vallejo
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

22.2%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

21.6%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Independiente Medellín - Universidad César Vallejo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 6 - 75%). César Vallejo will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Chaux E. (G) 2. Chaverra L. 24. Ortiz J. 4. Palacios M. 17. Fory J. 15. Alvarado J. 5. Lima P. 11. Plata A. 27. Leon Muniz B. 77. Jhon Vasquez 31. Moreno D.	1. Grados C. (G) 14. Cabello C. 19. Ascues C. 5. Deneumostier A. 32. Madrid J. 13. Barreto G. 8. Ysique F. 33. Benitez E. 10. Velez J. 23. Da Silva P. 9. Paolo Guerrero
Substitutes
16. Davila A. 8. Garcia M. 1. Gomez Palacio Y. A. (G) 13. Londono D. 10. Monsalve M. 20. Montano J. 29. Palacios J. 7. Peralta J. 14. Perlaza B. 21. Santacruz S. 23. Torijano F.	7. Barreto O. 30. Falcon Camacho W. S. (G) 22. Flores F. 17. Mena Y. 20. Noronha O. 24. Olaya S. 6. Perea G. 2. Quinones Goicochea J. J. 12. Rabines M. (G) 27. Ramirez A. 28. Santibanez S.
Coaches
Arias A.	Salas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Jhon Vasquez ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Jhon Vasquez (Pen),
25', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Barreto G. ↓, Perea G. ↑,
46', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Mena Y. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Leon Muniz B. ⚽, Alvarado J. (A),
52', Deneumostier A. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Mena Y. ⚽, Da Silva P. (A),
66', Leon Muniz B. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
66', Moreno D. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
73', Jhon Vasquez ↓, Montano J. ↑,
76', 3 - 2, Velez J. (Pen),
79', 4 - 2, Garcia M. ⚽, Perlaza B. (A),
84', Lima P. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
84', Plata A. ↓, Monsalve M. ↑,
89', Ysique F. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,

Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

César Vallejo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Independiente Medellín is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
07.04.24	Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Medellín	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.04.24	Always Ready - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
31.03.24	Independiente Medellín - América de Cali	1:4 ✺
22.03.24	Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Medellín	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Independiente Medellín - Once Caldas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLLWL
- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 1
06.04.24	Unión Comercio - Universidad César Vallejo	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Defensa y Justicia	0:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
30.03.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
14.03.24	Alianza Atlético - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Sport Boys - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTTL

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