Match Info

Date: 28 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio San Martin de Porres (Lima)


	Universidad San Martín		ADT Tarma

	1	X	2
	2.37	3	3.4	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.2
	2.32	2.85	3.3
	2.29	2.8	3.2
	2.38	2.9	3.57
	2.25	2.8	3.3	Watch
	2.38	3.04	3.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.58)	2.88 ↓ (3.05)	3.32 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad San Martín
39.9%

Draw
32.2%

ADT Tarma
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

30.7%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

30%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad San Martín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ADT Tarma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Universidad San Martín - ADT Tarma Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Uni San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 40%). ADT will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 13).

Recent matches Universidad San Martín is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

ADT is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

ADT could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 1
21.05.22	Universidad San Martín - Carlos Stein	3:1 ✺
14.05.22	Cantolao - Universidad San Martín	2:2 ✺
09.05.22	Universidad San Martín - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
02.05.22	Cajamarca - Universidad San Martín	3:1 ✺
24.04.22	Universidad San Martín - Sport Huancayo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLLT
- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1
13.05.22	FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma	3:0 ✺
08.05.22	ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
01.05.22	Carlos A. Mannucci - ADT Tarma	1:1 ✺
24.04.22	ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético	1:2 ✺
16.04.22	Atlético Grau - ADT Tarma	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTTLL

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