Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 8

Date: 12 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)


	Cienciano		Cantolao

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.75	10	Watch
	1.23	5.75	8.5
	1.27	5.5	10
	1.17	5.5	8.86
	1.17	6	10
	1.23	6.55	11	Watch
	1.24	6	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.31)	5.86 ↑ (4.99)	9.65 ↑ (8.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cienciano
74.8%

Draw
15.7%

Cantolao
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

18.6%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2%

17.7%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Cantolao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Cienciano - Cantolao Predictions

Users Predictions: Cienciano will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Vargas M. (G) 91. Cordova Y. 26. Riojas H. 2. Evangelista F. 16. Santillan I. 7. Hurtado C. 19. Quintero A. 6. Ojeda A. 14. Torrejon C. 77. Pacheco F. 9. Carando D.	23. Limousin C. (G) 28. Salas S. 3. Sanchez A. 4. Romero A. 2. Montoya J. 27. Velasco S. 18. Acosta M. 5. Guarderas R. 7. Vergara H. 8. Ramirez L. 19. Tamariz A.
Substitutes
3. Aparicio K. 23. Cana D. (G) 17. Garro L. 8. La Torre D. 31. Quintana A. 22. Ramirez S. 55. Ramua A. 10. Romagnoli J. 5. Solis L.	15. Calabrese B. 1. Cruz J. (G) 55. Duclos F. 9. Espinoza Torres R. 30. Huerto J. 14. Regalado I. 22. Sanchez C.
Coaches
Ameli G.	Taffarel A.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cienciano won 2.

Recent matches Cienciano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cantolao is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Cienciano is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cienciano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Cienciano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
06.08.23	Alianza Atlético - Cienciano	2:1 ✺
21.07.23	Cienciano - Sport Huancayo	1:0 ✺
16.07.23	Cusco - Cienciano	0:0 ✺
08.07.23	Cienciano - Cajamarca	2:2 ✺
03.07.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Cienciano	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWTTW
- AD Cantolao
Peruvian Liga 1
07.08.23	Cantolao - Sport Huancayo	1:1 ✺
28.07.23	Cusco - Cantolao	3:0 ✺
23.07.23	Cantolao - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
15.07.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Cantolao	2:1 ✺
07.07.23	Cantolao - Universitario de Deportes	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
12.03.23	Cantolao - Cienciano	1:0
20.10.22	Cantolao - Cienciano	3:1
18.06.22	Cienciano - Cantolao	1:0
23.07.21	Cienciano - Cantolao	0:0
14.04.21	Cantolao - Cienciano	0:2
14.11.20	Cantolao - Cienciano	2:0
02.02.20	Cantolao - Cienciano	2:1

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