Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)


	Cienciano		ADT Tarma

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.40	3.85
	1.63	3.74	5.05
	1.82	3.6	4.11	Watch
	1.53	3.70	5.00
	1.64	3.65	4.63
	1.60	3.55	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)	3.61 ↑ (3.4)	4.56 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cienciano
54.7%

Draw
25.3%

ADT Tarma
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

26.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

24.7%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Cienciano - ADT Tarma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 8. Aguirre G. 4. Amondarain M. 88. Barreto G. 14. Cabello C. 39. Caparo H. 21. Garces C. 10. Hohberg A. 13. Nunez C. 25. Salazar R. 7. Souza Espana C.	33. Solis C. (G) 15. Alvino J. 32. Bauman J. 44. Benincasa H. 10. Cedron V. 26. Garcilazo J. 23. Narvaez J. 59. Nunez O. 16. Perez L. 7. Rojas J. 28. Soto J.
Substitutes
26. Aguilar R. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 11. Bandiera N. 16. Martinich M. 35. Parihuana J. 29. Robles A. 30. Roncal J. (G) 19. Succar M. 32. Sulca E.	20. Canela Torres J. J. 29. Garcia E. 18. Mazzo A. 6. Ojeda A. 9. Rengifo H. 2. Reyes J. 22. Rodriguez A. 3. Rugel L. 30. Valencia J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Rojas J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Cabello C. ↓, Bandiera N. ↑,
46', Caparo H. ↓, Arias Fierro S. D. ↑,
46', Espinoza Gomes I. ↓, Roncal J. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Bauman J. ⚽,
50', 1 - 2, Hohberg A. ⚽,
51', Nunez O. 🟨,
59', 2 - 2, Garces C. ⚽,
61', 2 - 3, Garcilazo J. ⚽,
71', Nunez O. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
75', Nunez C. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
77', Cedron V. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
89', Benincasa H. ↓, Rugel L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 2.

Cienciano has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

ADT is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cienciano is considered a favorite.

We predict that Cienciano will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cienciano
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
28.06.26	Cusco - Cienciano	1:2 ✺
21.06.26	Cienciano - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cienciano	0:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
31.05.26	Cienciano - Sporting Cristal	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.05.26	Cienciano - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWT
- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
26.06.26	Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma	1:0 ✺
19.06.26	ADT Tarma - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:1 ✺
12.06.26	Unión Minas - ADT Tarma	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
30.05.26	ADT Tarma - Cusco	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
03.04.26	Cienciano - ADT Tarma	3:2
19.07.25	ADT Tarma - Cienciano	1:0
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.25	ADT Tarma - Cienciano	1:2 penalties
Peruvian Liga 1
09.02.25	Cienciano - ADT Tarma	2:2
21.07.24	Cienciano - ADT Tarma	0:1
03.02.24	ADT Tarma - Cienciano	1:1
20.09.23	Cienciano - ADT Tarma	2:2

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