The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Philadelphia Union 57.3%
Draw 21.1%
Cincinnati 21.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.8%
22.2%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
22.1%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Philadelphia Union - Cincinnati Predictions
Users Predictions:
Philadelphia Union will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Blake A. (C) 39. Westfield F. 44. Pierre N. 26. Harriel N. 27. Wagner K. 6. Sullivan C. 21. Jean Jacques D. 4. Lukic J. 33. Sullivan Q. 23. Alladoh E. 9. Damiani B.
18. Celentano R. (G) 24. Smith K. 12. Robinson M. 88. Chirila A. 20. Bucha P. 22. Valenzuela G. 5. Nwobodo O. 66. Echenique E. 10. Evander (C) 99. Jabbari A. 9. Denkey K.
Substitutes
28. Anello A. 11. Bedoya A. 16. Bender B. 8. Bueno J. 10. Iloski M. 51. Jakupovic M. 76. Rick A. (G) 5. Sery Larsen J. 19. Vassilev I.
27. Anunga T. 16. Barlow T. 11. Gidi S. 15. Hadebe T. 4. Hagglund N. 13. Louro E. (G) 17. Mboma K. 2. Powell A. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J.
Coaches
Richter R.
Noonan P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
16', Nwobodo O. 🟥,
40', Evander 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Sullivan Q. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', 2 - 0, Damiani B. ⚽, Sullivan C. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Evander ↓, Powell A. ↑,
46', Denkey K. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
46', Echenique E. ↓, Hagglund N. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Damiani B. ⚽, Sullivan Q. (A),
61', 4 - 0, Damiani B. ⚽, Sullivan C. (A),
62', Valenzuela G. ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
66', Alladoh E. ↓, Iloski M. ↑,
66', Lukic J. ↓, Bueno J. ↑,
66', Sullivan Q. ↓, Vassilev I. ↑,
75', Damiani B. ↓, Jakupovic M. ↑,
75', Sullivan C. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
75', Jabbari A. ↓, Gidi S. ↑,
87', Anunga T. 🟨,
89', 5 - 0, Iloski M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 3.
Philadelphia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Cincinnati has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Philadelphia is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Philadelphia: Anello A.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Cincinnati: Gidi S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Philadelphia: Ndinga P.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Cincinnati: Fletcher K.
(Knee Injury)
We predict that Philadelphia will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:20. (average 1.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
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Blake A. (C) 
Westfield F. 
Wagner K. 
Jean Jacques D. 
Lukic J. 
Alladoh E. 
Damiani B. 
Bucha P. 
Nwobodo O. 
Echenique E. 
Evander (C) 
Jabbari A. 
Denkey K. 
Sery Larsen J. 
Anunga T. 
Gidi S. 
Hadebe T. 
Mboma K. 
Ramirez Leon B. J. 
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