Match Info

MLS

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Bank of America Stadium (Charlotte, NC)

Referee: Elfath I. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	Apple TV International


	Charlotte		Cincinnati

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.1	3.7	3
	2.22	3.7	3.05	Watch
	2.21	3.93	3.11
	2.19	3.66	3.11	Watch
	2.1	3.5	2.9
	2.17	3.93	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.04)	3.72 ↑ (3.7)	3.06 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte
43.8%

Draw
25.4%

Cincinnati
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

25.5%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charlotte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Charlotte - Cincinnati Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Cincinnati (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Charlotte (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlotte (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kahlina K. (G) 14. Byrne N. 44. Agyemang M. 3. Ream T. 23. Schnegg D. 28. Diani D. 16. Biel P. 8. Westwood A. 18. Calderon Vargas K. A. 9. Toklomati I. 10. Zaha W.	18. Celentano R. (G) 4. Hagglund N. 21. Miazga M. 88. Chirila A. 20. Bucha P. 22. Valenzuela G. 10. Evander 11. Gidi S. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 17. Mboma K. 9. Denkey K.
Substitutes
11. Abada L. 37. Aloko R. 13. Bronico B. 17. de la Torre L. 7. Goodwin A. 48. John A. 21. Miller T. (G) 4. Privett A. 25. Smalls T.	27. Anunga T. 16. Barlow T. 66. Echenique E. 3. Flores G. 37. Jimenez S. 55. Lajhar A. 13. Louro E. (G) 5. Nwobodo O. 12. Robinson M.
Coaches
Smith D.	Noonan P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', Valenzuela G. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Denkey K. ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, Evander ⚽, Bucha P. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 2, Toklomati I. ⚽, Ream T. (A),
53', 2 - 2, Biel P. ⚽, Diani D. (A),
55', Westwood A. 🟨,
56', Miazga M. ↓, Robinson M. ↑,
62', Gidi S. 🟨,
74', Valenzuela G. ↓, Echenique E. ↑,
74', Gidi S. ↓, Nwobodo O. ↑,
78', Evander 🟨,
78', Calderon Vargas K. A. ↓, Abada L. ↑,
82', Toklomati I. ↓, Goodwin A. ↑,
87', Mboma K. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
87', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Lajhar A. ↑,
90', Nwobodo O. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 3.

Charlotte has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cincinnati is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cincinnati may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Charlotte has had a series of away games.

Charlotte might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Charlotte: Kessler H. (Lower-Body Injury) Ream T. (Muscle Injury) Toffolo H. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Cincinnati: Fletcher K. (Knee Injury) Hadebe T. (Leg Injury) Smith K. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Cincinnati: Nwobodo O. (Leg Injury) Powell A. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte FC
MLS
02.05.26	New England Revolution - Charlotte	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
28.04.26	Charlotte - Atlanta United	0:2 ✺
MLS
25.04.26	Nashville SC - Charlotte	4:2 ✺
22.04.26	Orlando City - Charlotte	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	New York City - Charlotte	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLLW
- FC Cincinnati
MLS
02.05.26	Chicago Fire - Cincinnati	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Cincinnati - New York Red Bulls	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	New York City - Cincinnati	4:4 ✺
18.04.26	Cincinnati - Chicago Fire	3:3 ✺
11.04.26	Toronto FC - Cincinnati	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
10.08.25	Cincinnati - Charlotte	0:1
15.03.25	Charlotte - Cincinnati	2:0
13.07.24	Cincinnati - Charlotte	1:3
30.03.24	Charlotte - Cincinnati	1:1
23.09.23	Cincinnati - Charlotte	3:0
08.07.23	Charlotte - Cincinnati	2:2

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