Match Info

Leagues Cup

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network, TSN 5
Mexico	Imagen Television
Usa	FOX Sports 1, SportsEngine Play, TUDN, UniMas
World	Apple TV International


	Toluca		Seattle Sounders

	1	X	2
	1.25	6	10	Watch
	1.29	5.25	7.25
	1.26	6.1	8.8
	1.3	6.2	9.2
	1.33	5.57	8.37	Watch
	1.28	6	9.05
	1.28	6.08	9.65	Watch
	1.27	6.2	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.76)	5.93 ↑ (3.91)	8.92 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toluca
73.5%

Draw
15.9%

Seattle Sounders
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.

Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seattle Sounders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Toluca - Seattle Sounders Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Toluca will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Garcia L. (G) 17. Garcia Caprizo B. A. 6. Pereira F. 4. Bruno Mendez 20. Gallardo J. 29. Diaz Price J. 5. Romero F. 10. Angulo J. 35. Gutierrez E. 9. Vega A. (C) 21. Lopez I.	24. Frei S. (G) 85. Kossa-Rienzi K. 39. Hawkins S. 25. Ragen J. 5. Nouhou 37. Brunell S. 45. Kingston P. 9. Ferreira J. 11. Rusnak A. (C) 14. Rothrock P. 95. De Rosario O.
Substitutes
24. Arce F. 12. Beltran R. (G) 3. Briseno A. 25. del Villar E. 1. Gonzalez H. (G) 7. Guzman V. 11. Helinho 13. Luan 15. Perez P. 19. Simon S. 16. Vinas F.	50. Anchor M. (G) 81. Bronnik M. 30. Carli E. 84. Gaffney C. 90. Gomez S. 35. Lopez A. 19. Musovski D. 40. O'Neill M. 16. Roldan A. 4. Sailor R. 53. Sandnes G. 26. Thomas A. (G)
Coaches
Mohamed A.	Schmetzer B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Gallardo J. ⚽, Vega A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Angulo J. ↓, Helinho ↑,
62', Lopez I. ↓, Vinas F. ↑,
62', De Rosario O. ↓, Musovski D. ↑,
62', Brunell S. ↓, Roldan A. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Helinho ⚽,
74', Gutierrez E. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
74', Diaz Price J. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
76', Kossa-Rienzi K. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
76', Rusnak A. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
86', Vega A. ↓, del Villar E. ↑,
89', Hawkins S. ↓, Sailor R. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Vinas F. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Toluca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Seattle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Toluca is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Toluca - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 53.36%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toluca
Mexican Liga MX
02.08.26	Toluca - Necaxa	3:1 ✺
Mexican Campeon de Campeones
25.07.26	Toluca - Cruz Azul	1:3 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
21.07.26	Toluca - UNAM	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Cancún - Toluca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL
- Seattle Sounders FC
MLS
01.08.26	Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Philadelphia Union - Seattle Sounders	1:0 ✺
22.07.26	Austin FC - Seattle Sounders	3:1 ✺
16.07.26	Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers	1:5 ✺
24.05.26	Los Angeles - Seattle Sounders	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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