Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH)

Referee: Ford T. (Usa)


	Cincinnati		St. Louis City

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.5	Watch
	1.71	3.9	4.33
	1.72	4	4.75	Watch
	1.73	4.2	4.82
	1.72	4.03	4.82
	1.7	4	4.33
	1.72	4.1	4.42	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.73)	3.99 ↑ (3.86)	4.57 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati
55.4%

Draw
23.8%

St. Louis City
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

24.3%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

23.5%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	15.4%	23.1%

Cincinnati - St. Louis City Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). St. Louis City will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Celentano R. (G) 4. Hagglund N. 21. Miazga M. 32. Murphy I. 15. Halsey B. 5. Nwobodo O. 20. Bucha P. 23. Orellano L. 10. Acosta L. (C) 7. Kubo Y. 22. Valenzuela G.	1. Burki R. (G) 20. Watts A. 22. Hiebert K. 4. Nilsson J. 44. Dyhr N. 25. Jackson A. 6. Blom N. 85. Kijima H. 12. Pompeu C. 16. Adeniran S. 9. Joao Klauss
Substitutes
27. Asad Y. 33. Foster I. 37. Jimenez S. 1. Kann A. (G) 14. Keller K. 19. Kelsy K. 26. Pinto M. 12. Robinson M. 17. Santos S.	21. Alm R. 8. Durkin C. 10. Lowen E. 39. Lundt B. (G) 2. Nerwinski J. 7. Ostrak T. 26. Parker T. 29. Thorisson N. 19. Vassilev I.
Coaches
Noonan P.	Carnell B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Acosta L. (Pen),
35', Kijima H. 🟨,
36', Murphy I. 🟨,
44', Adeniran S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Dyhr N. ↓, Parker T. ↑,
46', Kijima H. ↓, Ostrak T. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Kubo Y. ⚽, Acosta L. (A),
52', Ostrak T. 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Miazga M. (Own goal),
59', Valenzuela G. ↓, Kelsy K. ↑,
60', Blom N. ↓, Durkin C. ↑,
60', Pompeu C. ↓, Vassilev I. ↑,
67', Kubo Y. ↓, Santos S. ↑,
67', Halsey B. ↓, Asad Y. ↑,
75', Adeniran S. ↓, Lowen E. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Santos S. ⚽, Acosta L. (A), Orellano L. (A2)
86', Murphy I. ↓, Keller K. ↑,
86', Acosta L. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Cincinnati in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches St. Louis City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Cincinnati is a favorite.

There will not play in Cincinnati: Boupendza A. (Injury) Kelsy K. (Suspended) Powell A. (Injury) Yedlin D. (Injury)

There will not play in St. Louis City: Lowen E. (Injury) Markanich A. (Red Card) Yaro J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cincinnati: Baird C. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cincinnati won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cincinnati
MLS
15.05.24	Cincinnati - Atlanta United	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Columbus Crew - Cincinnati	1:2 ✺
04.05.24	Orlando City - Cincinnati	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Cincinnati - Colorado Rapids	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Atlanta United - Cincinnati	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WWWWW
- St. Louis City SC
MLS
15.05.24	St. Louis City - Los Angeles	0:2 ✺
11.05.24	St. Louis City - Chicago Fire	3:1 ✺
04.05.24	Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City	3:3 ✺
14.04.24	St. Louis City - Austin FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
15.04.23	St. Louis City - Cincinnati	5:1

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