Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 18

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Città di Brindisi		Picerno

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	1.82
	3.75	3.2	2	Watch
	4.22	3.44	1.86
	4.22	3.44	1.86
	4	3.25	1.8
	4.2	3.32	1.78
	3.85	3.3	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (3.6)	3.31 ↑ (3.1)	1.86 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Città di Brindisi
22.9%

Draw
27.7%

Picerno
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

29%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

28.2%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Città di Brindisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Brindisi than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Città di Brindisi - Picerno Predictions

Users Predictions: Picerno will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Albertazzi M. (G) 4. Gorzelewski F. 15. Bellucci N. 13. Bizzotto N. 16. Valenti B. 11. Lombardi L. 19. Malaccari N. 7. Albertini A. 38. Nicolao G. 99. Ganz S. 9. Bunino C.	1. Merelli D. (G) 2. Pagliai G. 13. Gilli M. 24. Biasiol E. 25. Guerra W. 30. De Ciancio R. 17. Ciko S. 37. Vitali P. 16. Santarcangelo A. 11. Esposito E. 9. Murano J.
Substitutes
12. Auro C. (G) 8. Cancelli C. 21. Cappelletti D. 6. Ceesay W. R. 63. Costa R. 23. De Angelis P. 17. Fall M. 91. Galano C. 14. Mazia A. 3. Monti N. 18. Moretti F. 10. Petrucci D. 22. Saio I. (G) 2. Vona A.	7. Ceccarelli T. 12. Esposito A. (G) 77. Graziani V. 10. Maiorino P. 5. Pitarresi F. 27. Savarese M. 22. Summa E. (G)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Brindisi is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Picerno in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brindisi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Picerno is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Brindisi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Brindisi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Città di Brindisi
Italian Serie C Group C
10.12.23	Sorrento - Città di Brindisi	0:2 ✺
03.12.23	Città di Brindisi - Crotone	0:2 ✺
27.11.23	Virtus Francavilla - Città di Brindisi	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Taranto - Città di Brindisi	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Città di Brindisi - Avellino	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLL
- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
08.12.23	Picerno - Casertana	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Audace Cerignola - Picerno	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Picerno - Avellino	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Latina - Picerno	0:3 ✺
13.11.23	Picerno - Potenza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
23.05.21	Città di Brindisi - Picerno	0:1
31.01.21	Picerno - Città di Brindisi	0:0

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