Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 24

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio (Picerno) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Picerno		Potenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.38	3.15	2.82
	2.4	3.15	3.05
	2.34	3.19	2.89	Watch
	2.38	2.9	2.75
	2.31	3.02	2.97	Watch
	2.42	3.14	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.42)	3.09 ↓ (3.42)	2.89 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Picerno
38.6%

Draw
29.6%

Potenza
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38%

26.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

26.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Picerno - Potenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Marcone R. (G) 97. Rillo F. 3. Bellodi G. 28. Bassoli A. 20. Gemignani A. 30. Bianchi S. 44. Franco D. 27. Baldassin L. 11. Esposito E. 90. Abreu L. 17. Guadagni G.	22. Franchi D. (G) 14. Riggio C. 24. Bachini M. 19. Balzano M. 47. Bura R. 8. Castorani M. 5. Lucas Martello 28. Maisto F. 31. Siatounis A. 20. Ragone G. 70. Selleri G.
Substitutes
33. Bocic M. 77. Cardoni K. 29. Del Fabro D. 25. Djibril M. 10. Maiorino P. 48. Pecci F. (G) 63. Pistolesi F. 99. Pugliese S. 21. Salvo G. 9. Santarcangelo A. 1. Summa E. (G)	98. Adjapong C. 17. Cucchietti T. (G) 10. D'Auria G. 23. De Marco A. 27. Erradi B. 83. Gabriele G. 2. Landi E. 6. Loiacono G. 3. Rocchetti Y. 40. Rocco P. (G) 21. Schimmenti E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Abreu L. ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Bianchi S. ⚽,
40', Franco D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ragone G. ↓, Adjapong C. ↑,
46', Bachini M. ↓, D'Auria G. ↑,
46', Castorani M. ↓, Schimmenti E. ↑,
52', Bura R. ↓, Loiacono G. ↑,
56', Guadagni G. 🟨,
61', Bianchi S. ↓, Pugliese S. ↑,
61', Franco D. ↓, Maiorino P. ↑,
74', Esposito E. ↓, Cardoni K. ↑,
80', Maisto F. ↓, De Marco A. ↑,
85', Gemignani A. ↓, Salvo G. ↑,
85', Rillo F. ↓, Pistolesi F. ↑,
90+4', Lucas Martello 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Potenza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Picerno won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Potenza	11	8	2	1	28:15	13	26
11	Picerno	11	5	0	6	20:18	2	15

Last Results with these Odds

Potenza - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.1%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
24.01.26	Casarano - Picerno	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Picerno - Latina	0:0 ✺
12.01.26	Giugliano - Picerno	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Picerno - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Sorrento - Picerno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTWTT
- Potenza FC
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.01.26	Potenza - Ternana	1:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
24.01.26	Crotone - Potenza	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Potenza - Casertana	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.01.26	Ternana - Potenza	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
09.01.26	Audace Cerignola - Potenza	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
21.09.25	Potenza - Picerno	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
04.05.25	Potenza - Picerno	2:0
Italian Serie C Group C
02.03.25	Potenza - Picerno	2:2
21.10.24	Picerno - Potenza	1:1
18.03.24	Potenza - Picerno	1:0
13.11.23	Picerno - Potenza	3:1
Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.23	Picerno - Potenza	0:1

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