Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 23

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Vicenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Ecuador	DAZN App
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia
Mexico	DAZN App
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Vicenza Virtus		Cittadella

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	3.5	5.5
	1.62	3.55	6.17
	1.66	3.36	5.37
	1.6	3.2	5.5
	1.59	3.35	5.75
	1.61	3.4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	5.72 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vicenza Virtus
56.9%

Draw
27%

Cittadella
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

26.3%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

24.6%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vicenza Virtus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Vicenza Virtus - Cittadella Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vicenza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Vicenza (2.10) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vicenza Virtus will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vicenza (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Gagno R. (G) 14. Cuomo G. 6. Leverbe M. 27. Sandon T. 28. Caferri L. 29. Zonta L. 4. Carraro M. 26. Pellizzari G. 32. Costa F. 10. Capello A. 11. Stuckler D.	1. Maniero L. (G) 2. Salvi A. 18. Pavan N. (C) 4. Angeli M. 19. D'Alessio F. 8. Amatucci F. 10. Casolari F. 28. Rizza A. 7. Anastasia E. 9. Diaw D. 90. Bunino C.
Substitutes
24. Alessio F. 23. Benassai F. 22. Bianchi G. (G) 5. Cappelletti D. 8. Cavion M. 13. Golin M. 12. Massolo S. (G) 9. Morra C. 77. Rada A. 7. Rauti N. 44. Talarico R. 19. Tribuzzi A. 33. Vescovi M. 99. Vitale M.	5. Barberis A. 45. Cardinali M. (G) 99. Castelli D. 14. Crialese C. 30. De Zen R. 91. Falcinelli D. 17. Gaddini M. 44. Gatti R. 77. Ignatov E. . Lotto N. (G) 21. Rabbi S. 55. Redolfi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Salvi A. ↓, De Zen R. ↑,
45+4', 1 - 0, Pellizzari G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Diaw D. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Anastasia E. (Penalty Awarded),
52', Leverbe M. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Stuckler D. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Rabbi S. 🟨,
68', Sandon T. 🟨,
69', Capello A. ↓, Rauti N. ↑,
69', Zonta L. ↓, Cavion M. ↑,
70', Bunino C. ↓, Castelli D. ↑,
70', De Zen R. ↓, Falcinelli D. ↑,
77', 3 - 1, Caferri L. ⚽,
79', Cuomo G. ↓, Benassai F. ↑,
79', Stuckler D. ↓, Alessio F. ↑,
82', 4 - 1, Alessio F. ⚽,
86', Sandon T. ↓, Cappelletti D. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vicenza Virtus won 2.

Vicenza Virtus has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Cittadella has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Vicenza Virtus is considered a favorite.

We predict that Vicenza Virtus will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vicenza Virtus won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vicenza Virtus won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cittadella	9	8	0	1	16:4	12	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie C Group A
18.01.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Vicenza Virtus	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Vicenza Virtus - Ospitaletto	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Lumezzane - Vicenza Virtus	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Pergolettese - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWTWW
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
17.01.26	Cittadella - Pergolettese	3:3 ✺
11.01.26	Alcione - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Cittadella - Virtus Verona	4:1 ✺
21.12.25	Giana Erminio - Cittadella	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Cittadella - Novara	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
15.09.25	Cittadella - Vicenza Virtus	0:1
Italian Serie B
23.01.22	Vicenza Virtus - Cittadella	3:3
21.08.21	Cittadella - Vicenza Virtus	1:0
02.04.21	Vicenza Virtus - Cittadella	1:0
15.12.20	Cittadella - Vicenza Virtus	3:0
Club Friendly
27.07.19	Cittadella - Vicenza Virtus	1:3

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