Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 25

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Cittadella		Reggina

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.7	Watch
	2.85	2.87	2.65
	2.65	3	2.8
	3.07	2.94	2.77
	2.75	2.8	2.88
	2.88	2.92	2.72	Watch
	2.85	2.9	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3)	2.92 ↑ (2.8)	2.74 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
33.1%

Draw
32.4%

Reggina
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

33.4%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

35.2%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Reggina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Cittadella - Reggina Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Reggina will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggina: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Cittadella has the most likely position - 15 (10.72%), has project points - 45, has currently - 27, has a chance of relegated (30%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 5 (12.22%), has project points - 57, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (68%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 29, importance 38, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 2.

Recent matches Cittadella is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Reggio Calabria is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
11.02.23	Frosinone - Cittadella	3:0 ✺
04.02.23	Cittadella - Ascoli	3:0 ✺
28.01.23	Venezia - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Cittadella - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
14.01.23	Pisa - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWTTW
- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
11.02.23	Reggina - Pisa	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Palermo - Reggina	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Reggina	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Reggina - Ternana	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Reggina - SPAL	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
17.09.22	Reggina - Cittadella	3:0
15.03.22	Cittadella - Reggina	0:0
01.11.21	Reggina - Cittadella	0:1
05.04.21	Cittadella - Reggina	1:1
19.12.20	Reggina - Cittadella	1:3
26.04.14	Reggina - Cittadella	0:1
23.11.13	Cittadella - Reggina	0:0

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