Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 18

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol


	Sassuolo		Palermo

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.77	3.7	4.2
	1.78	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.83	3.6	4.93
	1.79	3.64	4.6	Watch
	1.8	3.7	4
	1.75	3.76	4.51	Watch
	1.78	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.84)	3.71 ↓ (3.83)	4.39 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
53%

Draw
25.5%

Palermo
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

24.7%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.2%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	4.3%	4.3%

Sassuolo - Palermo Predictions

Users Predictions: Sassuolo will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Moldovan H. (G) 23. Toljan J. 26. Odenthal C. 80. Muharemovic T. 15. Pieragnolo E. 11. Boloca D. 24. Moro L. 14. Obiang P. 42. Thorstvedt K. 45. Lauriente A. 10. Berardi D.	1. Desplanches S. (G) 4. Baniya R. 43. Nikolaou D. 32. Ceccaroni P. 3. Lund K. 7. Di Mariano F. 8. Segre J. (C) 10. Ranocchia F. 21. Le Douaron J. 26. Verre V. 17. Di Francesco F.
Substitutes
28. Antiste J. 25. D'Andrea L. 3. Doig J. 8. Ghion A. 40. Iannoni E. 35. Lipani L. 20. Lovato M. 44. Miranda K. 17. Paz Y. 77. Pierini N. 91. Russo F. 12. Satalino G. (G)	19. Appuah S. 9. Brunori M. 25. Buttaro A. 20. Henry T. 11. Insigne R. 18. Nedelcearu I. 12. Nespola M. (G) 30. Saric D. 46. Sirigu S. (G) 14. Vasic A.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Dionisi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Lauriente A. ⚽, Thorstvedt K. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Le Douaron J. ⚽, Ranocchia F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Moro L. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
58', Pieragnolo E. ↓, Doig J. ↑,
68', Verre V. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Pierini N. ⚽,
77', Di Mariano F. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
77', Di Francesco F. ↓, Appuah S. ↑,
80', Obiang P. ↓, Iannoni E. ↑,
82', Baniya R. 🟨,
84', Nikolaou D. 🟨,
86', Segre J. ↓, Henry T. ↑,
86', Le Douaron J. ↓, Brunori M. ↑,
87', Lauriente A. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
87', Berardi D. ↓, Lovato M. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sassuolo won 3.

Sassuolo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Palermo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sassuolo is a favorite.

There are questionable in Palermo: Blin A. (Thigh Injury) Gomis A. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sassuolo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Sassuolo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
14.12.24	Frosinone - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	Sassuolo - Sampdoria	5:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.12.24	Milan - Sassuolo	6:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
29.11.24	Reggiana - Sassuolo	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Sassuolo - Salernitana	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW
- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
15.12.24	Palermo - Catanzaro	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Carrarese - Palermo	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Palermo - Spezia	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Palermo - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
08.11.24	Frosinone - Palermo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
15.01.17	Sassuolo - Palermo	4:1
21.08.16	Palermo - Sassuolo	0:1
07.02.16	Sassuolo - Palermo	2:2
23.09.15	Palermo - Sassuolo	0:1
02.05.15	Sassuolo - Palermo	0:0
13.12.14	Palermo - Sassuolo	2:1

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