Match Info

Serie B - Round 29

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara)

Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Carrarese		Palermo

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.2
	3.3	3.15	2.15	Watch
	3.85	3.26	2.14
	3.46	3.31	2.12	Watch
	3.5	3	2.1
	3.84	3.24	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (3.56)	3.21 ↓ (3.33)	2.12 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
26.5%

Draw
29.2%

Palermo
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

27.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

27%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	33.3%	58.3%

Carrarese - Palermo Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Palermo will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Palermo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Palermo (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Palermo (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 37. Calabrese N. 6. Oliana F. 4. Illanes J. (C) 72. Zanon S. 8. Melegoni F. 17. Zuelli E. 70. Hasa L. 7. Belloni N. 92. Torregrossa E. 32. Finotto M.	66. Joronen J. (G) 29. Peda P. 13. Bani M. (C) 32. Ceccaroni P. 11. Gyasi E. 10. Ranocchia F. 6. Gomes C. 3. Augello T. 21. Le Douaron J. 5. Palumbo A. 20. Pohjanpalo J.
Substitutes
13. Bouah D. 28. Di Stefano F. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 12. Garofani G. (G) 3. Imperiale M. 25. Lordkipanidze D. 77. Parlanti G. 73. Rouhi J. 21. Rubino T. 26. Ruggeri F. 44. Sekulov N. 20. Troise A.	19. Bereszynski B. 31. Corona G. 77. Di Bartolo F. (G) 17. Giovane S. 1. Gomis A. (G) 7. Johnsen D. 96. Magnani G. 18. Modesto R. 8. Segre J. 14. Vasic A. 72. Veroli D.
Coaches
Calabro A.	Inzaghi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Le Douaron J. (A),
44', Torregrossa E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gyasi E. ↓, Bereszynski B. ↑,
46', Gomes C. ↓, Segre J. ↑,
51', Peda P. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
65', Le Douaron J. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
66', Melegoni F. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
67', Belloni N. ↓, Rouhi J. ↑,
78', Torregrossa E. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
87', Palumbo A. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
87', Hasa L. ↓, Sekulov N. ↑,
87', Calabrese N. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
90', Finotto M. 🟨,
90', Bani M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent form of Carrarese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Palermo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Palermo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Carrarese: Abiuso F. (Yellow Cards) Abiuso F. (Red Card) Accornero F. (Inactive) Bouah D. (Inactive) Salamon B. (Inactive) Schiavi N. (Injury)

There will not play in Palermo: Blin A. (Red Card) Pierozzi N. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Palermo: 48.07% Carrarese: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palermo	6	5	1	0	14:7	7	16
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Last Results with these Odds

Carrarese - the odds 3.56 are the expected chance of winning is 26.06%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Palermo - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.08%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
04.03.26	Carrarese - Catanzaro	3:3 ✺
01.03.26	Mantova - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Carrarese - Monza	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Modena - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Padova - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLLL
- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
04.03.26	Palermo - Mantova	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Pescara - Palermo	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Palermo - Virtus Entella	3:0 ✺
10.02.26	Sampdoria - Palermo	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.11.25	Palermo - Carrarese	5:0
13.05.25	Palermo - Carrarese	1:1
07.12.24	Carrarese - Palermo	1:0

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