Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 11

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Santoro A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Cittadella		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	3.75	3	2.15	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.15
	3.6	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.81	3.27	2.21
	3.69	3.23	2.13	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.15
	3.67	3.38	2.1	Watch
	3.6	3.2	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.08)	3.2 ↑ (3.15)	2.14 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
26.2%

Draw
29.5%

Sampdoria
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

30%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

30%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	31.8%	59.1%

Cittadella - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampdoria: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Kastrati E. (G) 24. Carissoni L. 2. Salvi A. 26. Pavan N. 32. Masciangelo E. 16. Vita A. 8. Amatucci F. 23. Branca S. (C) 17. Tronchin S. 9. Magrassi A. 21. Rabbi S.	1. Vismara P. (G) 24. Bereszynski B. 5. Riccio A. 31. Vulikic S. 18. Venuti L. 80. Benedetti L. 28. Yepes G. 7. Bellemo A. 44. Ioannou N. 9. Coda M. 10. Tutino G. (C)
Substitutes
4. Angeli M. 10. Cassano C. 64. Cecchetto A. 19. D'Alessio F. 11. Desogus J. 78. Maniero L. (G) 7. Pandolfi L. 35. Piccinini S. 91. Ravasio M. 28. Rizza A. 18. Tessiore A. 20. Voltan D.	15. Akinsanmiro E. 16. Borini F. 23. Depaoli F. 25. Ferrari A. 22. Ghidotti S. (G) 21. Giordano S. 17. Meulensteen M. 11. Pedrola E. 8. Ricci M. 6. Romagnoli S. 84. Sekulov N. 33. Silvestri M. (G)
Coaches
Dal Canto A.	Sottil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Rabbi S. 🟨,
38', Branca S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Venuti L. ↓, Depaoli F. ↑,
59', Benedetti L. ↓, Akinsanmiro E. ↑,
59', Yepes G. ↓, Meulensteen M. ↑,
63', Tronchin S. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
65', Magrassi A. 🟨,
70', Coda M. ↓, Pedrola E. ↑,
75', Riccio A. 🟨,
76', Bereszynski B. ↓, Romagnoli S. ↑,
76', Magrassi A. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Cittadella has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sampdoria is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sampdoria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sampdoria will have a mini benefit in this match.

There are questionable in Cittadella: Sanogo A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sampdoria: Vieira R. (Muscle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
26.10.24	Carrarese - Cittadella	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Sassuolo - Cittadella	6:1 ✺
27.09.24	Cittadella - Frosinone	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Mantova - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
27.10.24	Sampdoria - Mantova	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Cesena - Sampdoria	3:5 ✺
04.10.24	Sampdoria - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Modena - Sampdoria	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.24	Genoa - Sampdoria	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.01.24	Cittadella - Sampdoria	1:2
18.09.23	Sampdoria - Cittadella	1:2
24.03.12	Cittadella - Sampdoria	1:2

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