Match Info

Serie B - Round 11

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Sampdoria		Mantova

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.92	3.35	3.75	Watch
	1.76	3.58	4.21	Watch
	1.96	3.38	3.83	Watch
	1.97	3.45	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.76)	3.43 ↓ (3.58)	3.89 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
48.9%

Draw
27.1%

Mantova
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

25.7%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

25.1%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	6.2%	6.2%

Sampdoria - Mantova Predictions

Users Predictions: Sampdoria will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sampdoria will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ghidotti S. (G) 5. Riccio A. 21. Giordano S. 17. Hadzikadunic D. 44. Ioannou N. 72. Barak A. 8. Ricci M. 16. Henderson L. 10. Cherubini L. 7. Cuni M. 9. Coda M.	1. Festa M. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 27. Castellini A. 29. Cella S. 6. Bani C. 36. Paoletti F. 8. Artioli F. 14. Galuppini F. 21. Trimboli S. 19. Ruocco F. 9. Mancuso L.
Substitutes
14. Bellemo A. 80. Benedetti L. 33. Conti F. 3. Coubis A. 25. Ferrari A. 22. Krastev A. (G) 77. Malagrida L. 70. Narro V. 30. Ravaglia N. (G) 18. Venuti L. 31. Vulikic S.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 99. Bonfanti N. 28. Caprini M. 18. Falletti C. 20. Fedel G. 11. Fiori A. 96. Maggioni T. 23. Marras T. 7. Mensah D. 4. Mullen S. 53. Pittino T. 10. Wieser D.
Coaches
Gregucci A.	Possanzini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Henderson L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Henderson L. ↓, Benedetti L. ↑,
62', Bani C. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
62', Mancuso L. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
70', Ioannou N. 🟨,
70', Ioannou N. ↓, Venuti L. ↑,
77', Hadzikadunic D. ↓, Vulikic S. ↑,
77', Ricci M. ↓, Bellemo A. ↑,
79', Paoletti F. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
79', Galuppini F. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Ruocco F. ⚽, Radaelli N. (A),
88', Artioli F. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Sampdoria has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mantova is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sampdoria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sampdoria is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sampdoria: Altare G. (Knee Injury) Coucke G. (Inactive) Depaoli F. (Injury) Ferri J. (Red Card) Girelli S. (Inactive) Pafundi S. (Inactive) Romagnoli S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Mantova: Mantovani V. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Sampdoria: Abildgaard O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Mantova: Caprini M. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Sampdoria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
28.10.25	Empoli - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Sampdoria - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Virtus Entella - Sampdoria	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Sampdoria - Pescara	4:1 ✺
01.10.25	Sampdoria - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTLWT
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
29.10.25	Mantova - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
26.10.25	Bari - Mantova	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Mantova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Avellino - Mantova	0:0 ✺
30.09.25	Juve Stabia - Mantova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.01.25	Mantova - Sampdoria	2:2
27.10.24	Sampdoria - Mantova	1:0

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