Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 6

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova)

Referee: Scatena G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Mantova		Cittadella

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.4
	2.2	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.27	3.2	3.59
	2.21	3.18	3.54	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.4
	2.19	3.3	3.42	Watch
	2.18	3.2	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.13)	3.21 ↓ (3.32)	3.43 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
43.1%

Draw
29.4%

Cittadella
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.4%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Mantova - Cittadella Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Cittadella will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cittadella: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Festa M. (G) 27. Maggioni T. 13. Brignani F. 5. Redolfi A. 6. Bani C. 8. Burrai S. 28. Muroni M. 14. Galuppini F. 70. Aramu M. 11. Fiori A. 7. Mensah D.	78. Maniero L. (G) 24. Carissoni L. 26. Pavan N. 4. Angeli M. 32. Masciangelo E. 8. Amatucci F. 23. Branca S. (C) 11. Desogus J. 16. Vita A. 91. Ravasio M. 21. Rabbi S.
Substitutes
24. Artioli F. 16. Botti F. (G) 30. Bragantini D. 29. Cella S. 9. Debenedetti A. 87. De Maio S. 20. Fedel G. 19. Mancuso L. 17. Radaelli N. 18. Ruocco F. 4. Solini M. 10. Wieser D.	10. Cassano C. 64. Cecchetto A. 19. D'Alessio F. 9. Magrassi A. 7. Pandolfi L. 35. Piccinini S. 28. Rizza A. 2. Salvi A. 22. Scquizzato E. (G) 18. Tessiore A.
Coaches
Possanzini D.	Gorini E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Desogus J. 🟨,
15', Aramu M. 🟨,
29', Amatucci F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Galuppini F. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
58', Carissoni L. 🟨,
59', Rabbi S. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
60', Desogus J. ↓, Cassano C. ↑,
65', Aramu M. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
65', Fiori A. ↓, Ruocco F. ↑,
73', Ravasio M. ↓, Magrassi A. ↑,
73', Amatucci F. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
76', Mensah D. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
76', Muroni M. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
80', Vita A. ↓, D'Alessio F. ↑,
81', Redolfi A. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 0, Mancuso L. ⚽, Wieser D. (A),

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Mantova will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mantova won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Mantova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
14.09.24	Bari - Mantova	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Mantova - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
28.08.24	Juve Stabia - Mantova	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Mantova - Nuova Cosenza	3:2 ✺
18.08.24	Reggiana - Mantova	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWT
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
14.09.24	Cittadella - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Modena - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
27.08.24	Cittadella - Pisa	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Brescia - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Salernitana - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.09.20	Cittadella - Mantova	3:2
Italian Serie C Group A
24.03.16	Mantova - Cittadella	0:1
15.11.15	Cittadella - Mantova	0:0

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