Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 10

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara)

Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Carrarese		Cittadella

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.1
	2.35	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.16	3.36
	2.36	3.11	3.28	Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.9
	2.35	3.18	3.22	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.45)	3.14 ↑ (3.13)	3.16 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
40.1%

Draw
30%

Cittadella
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

30.1%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28.8%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Carrarese - Cittadella Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cittadella will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 21. Coppolaro M. 4. Illanes J. 3. Imperiale M. (C) 11. Cicconi M. 8. Palmieri R. 18. Schiavi N. 13. Bouah D. 9. Cherubini L. 82. Capezzi L. 90. Cerri L.	36. Kastrati E. (G) 24. Carissoni L. 4. Angeli M. 26. Pavan N. 32. Masciangelo E. 16. Vita A. 23. Branca S. (C) 8. Amatucci F. 10. Cassano C. 11. Desogus J. 21. Rabbi S.
Substitutes
77. Belloni N. 28. Capello A. 25. Falco F. 32. Finotto M. 20. Giovane S. 34. Guarino G. 22. Mazzini S. (G) 6. Oliana F. 10. Panico G. 19. Shpendi S. 72. Zanon S. 17. Zuelli E.	64. Cecchetto A. 19. D'Alessio F. 9. Magrassi A. 78. Maniero L. (G) 7. Pandolfi L. 35. Piccinini S. 91. Ravasio M. 28. Rizza A. 2. Salvi A. 18. Tessiore A. 17. Tronchin S. 20. Voltan D.
Coaches
Calabro A.	Dal Canto A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Cerri L. ⚽, Cicconi M. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Cerri L. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Cherubini L. ⚽, Cicconi M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cassano C. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
60', Cerri L. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
60', Palmieri R. ↓, Falco F. ↑,
61', Bouah D. ↓, Zanon S. ↑,
66', Desogus J. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
67', Rabbi S. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
67', Masciangelo E. ↓, Rizza A. ↑,
70', Angeli M. ↓, Cecchetto A. ↑,
74', Schiavi N. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
79', Ravasio M. 🟨,
85', Cherubini L. ↓, Guarino G. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Carrarese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cittadella is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There are questionable in Carrarese: Shpendi S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cittadella: Sanogo A. (Injury) Tronchin S. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
20.10.24	Carrarese - Mantova	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Frosinone - Carrarese	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Carrarese - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Spezia - Carrarese	4:2 ✺
15.09.24	Carrarese - Sassuolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTLL
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
19.10.24	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Sassuolo - Cittadella	6:1 ✺
27.09.24	Cittadella - Frosinone	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Mantova - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Cittadella - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
12.08.12	Cittadella - Carrarese	2:0

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