Match Info

Serie B - Round 23

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena)

Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Modena		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.2	6.25	Watch
	1.75	3.15	5.15	Watch
	1.8	3.3	6.16
	1.76	3.25	5.32	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.75
	1.74	3.22	6.03	Watch
	1.76	3.1	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.91)	3.22 ↑ (2.91)	5.63 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
54%

Draw
29.3%

Sampdoria
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

32.1%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

33.1%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Modena's performance.

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	44.4%	5.6%

Modena - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Modena (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chichizola L. (G) 17. Massolin Y. 16. Gerli F. 11. Mendes P. 7. Zampano F. 20. Nieling B. 99. De Luca M. 28. Adorni D. 8. Santoro S. 98. Zanimacchia L. 77. Tonoli D.	50. Martinelli T. (G) 2. Viti M. 28. Abildgaard O. 17. Hadzikadunic D. 29. Di Pardo A. 33. Conti F. 8. Ricci M. 7. Cicconi M. 77. Pierini N. 10. Cherubini L. 99. Brunori M.
Substitutes
10. Ambrosino G. 2. Beyuku G. 33. Cauz C. 29. Cotali M. 92. Defrel G. 25. Dellavalle A. 9. Gliozzi E. 90. Imputato A. 13. Laidani A. (G) 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 18. Pyyhtia N. 5. Sersanti A.	72. Barak A. 11. Begic T. 34. Casalino T. 9. Coda M. 98. Coucke G. (G) 38. Diop K. 25. Ferrari A. 1. Ghidotti S. (G) 20. Pafundi S. 5. Riccio A. 92. Soleri E. 31. Vulikic S.
Coaches
Sottil A.	Gregucci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Brunori M. ⚽, Viti M. (A),
58', Zampano F. 🟨,
59', Cherubini L. ↓, Begic T. ↑,
59', Brunori M. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
63', Zampano F. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
63', Mendes P. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
63', De Luca M. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
64', Conti F. 🟨,
67', Conti F. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
70', Martinelli T. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Gliozzi E. ⚽, Nieling B. (A),
79', Massolin Y. ↓, Sersanti A. ↑,
79', Santoro S. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
80', Pierini N. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
80', Viti M. ↓, Riccio A. ↑,
86', Riccio A. 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, Begic T. ⚽, Ricci M. (A),
90+1', Begic T. 🟨,
90+4', Soleri E. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Modena is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Modena: Nador S. (Red Card)

There will not play in Sampdoria: Barak A. (Inactive) Depaoli F. (Inactive) Esposito Sa. (Inactive) Ferri J. (Inactive) Henderson L. (Yellow Cards) Palma M. (Red Card) Venuti L. (Injury) Viti M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Modena: Sersanti A. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Modena	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
17	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4

Last Results with these Odds

Modena - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.85%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
31.01.26	Empoli - Modena	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Modena - Palermo	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Pescara - Modena	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Padova - Modena	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Modena - Monza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTWLL
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
31.01.26	Sampdoria - Spezia	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Catanzaro - Sampdoria	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Sampdoria - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Avellino - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Sampdoria - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.08.25	Sampdoria - Modena	0:2
08.02.25	Sampdoria - Modena	1:0
29.09.24	Modena - Sampdoria	1:3
03.02.24	Sampdoria - Modena	2:2
11.11.23	Modena - Sampdoria	0:2
01.05.12	Modena - Sampdoria	0:2

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