Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 26

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro)

Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Catanzaro		Cittadella

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.89	3	4.1	Watch
	1.85	3.33	5.19
	1.83	3.27	5.06	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.6
	1.82	3.34	4.8	Watch
	1.82	3.05	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.05)	3.22 ↑ (3.21)	4.56 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
50.3%

Draw
29.1%

Cittadella
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

29%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

28.3%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cittadella might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	28.6%	9.5%

Catanzaro - Cittadella Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 23. Brighenti N. 14. Scognamillo S. 6. Bonini F. 84. Cassandro T. 24. Pagano R. 10. Petriccione J. 20. Pontisso S. 3. Quagliata G. 28. Biasci T. 9. Iemmello P. (C)	78. Maniero L. (G) 2. Salvi A. 13. Capradossi E. 6. Matino E. 19. D'Alessio F. 16. Vita A. (C) 8. Amatucci F. 18. Tessiore A. 32. Masciangelo E. 31. Okwonkwo O. 7. Pandolfi L.
Substitutes
45. Buso N. 82. Corradi C. 80. Coulibaly M. 70. D'Alessandro M. 25. Gelmi L. (G) 8. Ilie R. 19. La Mantia A. 61. Maiolo F. 90. Pittarello F. 21. Pompetti M. 29. Seck D. 92. Situm M.	45. Cardinali M. (G) 24. Carissoni L. 64. Cecchetto A. 11. Desogus J. 37. Palmieri R. 26. Pavan N. 35. Piccinini S. 21. Rabbi S. 28. Rizza A. 17. Tronchin S. 20. Voltan D.
Coaches
Caserta F.	Dal Canto A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Biasci T. ↓, La Mantia A. ↑,
59', Cassandro T. ↓, D'Alessandro M. ↑,
65', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Situm M. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Iemmello P. ⚽,
71', Pontisso S. 🟨,
71', D'Alessio F. ↓, Palmieri R. ↑,
71', Tessiore A. ↓, Carissoni L. ↑,
78', Pontisso S. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
79', Pagano R. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
81', Vita A. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
81', Salvi A. ↓, Voltan D. ↑,
81', Okwonkwo O. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Catanzaro is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Cittadella is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Catanzaro is a favorite.

There will not play in Catanzaro: Breit P. (Injury) Compagnon M. (Injury)

There will not play in Cittadella: Angeli M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Djibril A. (Injury) Kastrati E. (Back Injury) Negro S. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Catanzaro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
08.02.25	Frosinone - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Catanzaro - Cesena	4:2 ✺
26.01.25	Brescia - Catanzaro	2:3 ✺
19.01.25	Catanzaro - Pisa	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWWTT
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
08.02.25	Pisa - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Cittadella - Spezia	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Nuova Cosenza - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Cittadella - Mantova	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Cesena - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
14.09.24	Cittadella - Catanzaro	0:0
24.02.24	Cittadella - Catanzaro	1:2
27.09.23	Catanzaro - Cittadella	1:1

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