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Current Win Probability
Mantova 23.7%
Draw 26.3%
Sassuolo 50%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.2%
25.2%
54.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.6%
24.5%
56.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sassuolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
14.3%
71.4%
Mantova - Sassuolo Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Lauriente A. ⚽, Iannoni E. (A),
39', Iannoni E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Paz Y. 🟨,
54', 0 - 2, Lauriente A. ⚽, Ghion A. (A),
60', Ruocco F. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
60', Maggioni T. ↓, Radaelli N. ↑,
60', Bragantini D. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
65', Moro L. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
66', Ghion A. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
72', Mensah D. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
72', Iannoni E. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
72', Paz Y. ↓, Toljan J. ↑,
80', Lauriente A. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
81', 🟨,
90', Cella S. ↓, Redolfi A. ↑,
90+1', Obiang P. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 3, Pierini N. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
Recent matches Mantova is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sassuolo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Sassuolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Sassuolo is a favorite.
There will not play in Mantova: Bani C.
(Injury)
Panizzi E.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Sassuolo: Pierini N.
(Injury)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Mantova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:2.5).
Italy
Watch
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