Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 27

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV


	Sampdoria		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.2	2.85	2.27	Watch
	3.63	3.05	2.34
	3.58	3	2.29	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.2
	3.41	3.16	2.26	Watch
	3.2	2.85	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.23)	3.03 ↓ (3.34)	2.26 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
27.6%

Draw
30.9%

Sassuolo
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

27.9%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

27.6%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Sampdoria - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 21 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 59% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Cragno A. (G) 2. Curto M. 26. Altare G. (C) 5. Riccio A. 18. Venuti L. 17. Meulensteen M. 8. Ricci M. 44. Ioannou N. 20. Oudin R. 33. Sibilli G. 19. Niang M.	31. Moldovan H. (G) 23. Toljan J. 20. Lovato M. 19. Romagna F. 3. Doig J. 99. Verdi S. 14. Obiang P. (C) 11. Boloca D. 10. Berardi D. 24. Moro L. 45. Lauriente A.
Substitutes
90. Abiuso F. 15. Akinsanmiro E. 7. Bellemo A. 24. Bereszynski B. 21. Beruatto P. 77. Chiorra N. (G) 9. Coda M. 22. Ghidotti S. (G) 84. Sekulov N. 72. Veroli D. 4. Vieira R. 28. Yepes G.	33. Bonifazi K. 8. Ghion A. 40. Iannoni E. 35. Lipani L. 36. Mazzitelli L. 80. Muharemovic T. 9. Mulattieri S. 26. Odenthal C. 15. Pieragnolo E. 77. Pierini N. 12. Satalino G. (G) 7. Volpato C.
Coaches
Semplici L.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Altare G. 🟨,
15', Riccio A. 🟨,
44', Doig J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Curto M. 🟨,
58', Riccio A. ↓, Bereszynski B. ↑,
62', Moro L. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
62', Verdi S. ↓, Mazzitelli L. ↑,
64', Sibilli G. 🟨,
66', Berardi D. 🟨,
67', Meulensteen M. 🟨,
73', Lovato M. 🟨,
74', Meulensteen M. ↓, Yepes G. ↑,
75', Niang M. ↓, Coda M. ↑,
75', Sibilli G. ↓, Akinsanmiro E. ↑,
79', Doig J. ↓, Pieragnolo E. ↑,
79', Lauriente A. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
84', Romagna F. ↓, Muharemovic T. ↑,
85', Oudin R. ↓, Abiuso F. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 2.

Recent matches Sampdoria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sassuolo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sassuolo will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sampdoria: Bereszynski B. (Muscle Injury) Depaoli F. (Red Card) Ferrari A. (Red Card) Ghidotti S. (Injury) Tutino G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sampdoria: Bellemo A. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25:30 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
15.02.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Sampdoria - Modena	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Sampdoria - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Mantova - Sampdoria	2:2 ✺
17.01.25	Sampdoria - Cesena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWTL
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
15.02.25	Sassuolo - Brescia	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Mantova - Sassuolo	0:3 ✺
01.02.25	Sassuolo - Juve Stabia	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	Spezia - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Sassuolo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
08.12.24	Sassuolo - Sampdoria	5:1
Italian Serie A
26.05.23	Sampdoria - Sassuolo	2:2
04.01.23	Sassuolo - Sampdoria	1:2
06.02.22	Sampdoria - Sassuolo	4:0
29.08.21	Sassuolo - Sampdoria	0:0
24.04.21	Sassuolo - Sampdoria	1:0
23.12.20	Sampdoria - Sassuolo	2:3

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