Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 11

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free


	Lorient		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6.25	Watch
	1.46	4.5	6.25
	1.44	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.46	4.68	7.02
	1.45	4.58	6.32	Watch
	1.4	4.6	6.5
	1.46	4.7	6.47	Watch
	1.44	4.5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.44)	4.6 ↑ (4.39)	6.48 ↓ (7.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorient
65.1%

Draw
20.4%

Dunkerque
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

21.6%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	11.8%	11.8%

Lorient - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Mvogo Y. (G) 2. Igor Silva 5. Mendy F. 32. Adjei N. 44. Yongwa D. 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 62. Avom A. 6. Abergel L. 21. Ponceau J. 28. Soumano S. 9. Bamba M.	16. Ortola A. (G) 2. Georgen A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 4. Fernandez N. 21. Kondo G. 5. Queiros D. 9. Tejan K. 15. Sekongo A. 20. Bardeli E. 8. Rivera M. 19. Bammou Y.
Substitutes
66. James I. 77. Katseris P. 15. Laporte J. 1. Leroy B. (G) 17. Makengo J. 10. Pagis P. 27. Tosin A.	18. Courtet G. 10. Essimi M. 1. Jaouen E. (G) 23. Sasso V. 22. Skytta N. 80. Yassine G. 17. Youssouf B.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Rivera M. ⚽, Tejan K. (A),
18', Queiros D. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Mvuka Mugisha J. ⚽, Yongwa D. (A),
44', 1 - 2, Rivera M. ⚽, Bammou Y. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Bamba M. (Pen),
49', Sangante O. 🟨,
55', 2 - 2, Soumano S. ⚽, Abergel L. (A),
62', Avom A. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
62', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Katseris P. ↑,
62', Bamba M. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
63', Queiros D. ↓, Youssouf B. ↑,
63', Bardeli E. ↓, Skytta N. ↑,
74', Fernandez N. ↓, Sasso V. ↑,
75', Tejan K. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
78', Bammou Y. ↓, Courtet G. ↑,
79', Ponceau J. ↓, Pagis P. ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Tosin A. ⚽, Igor Silva (A),
86', 4 - 2, Soumano S. ⚽, Tosin A. (A),
90+1', Sasso V. 🟨,
90+1', Igor Silva ↓, Laporte J. ↑,
90+3', Sekongo A. 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Lorient is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Lorient: Diarra S. (Knee Injury) Fadiga B. (Injury) Igor Silva (Injury) Laporte J. (Injury) Le Bris T. (Muscle Injury) Makengo J. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 2
25.10.24	Rodez - Lorient	3:3 ✺
19.10.24	Lorient - Annecy	4:2 ✺
05.10.24	Caen - Lorient	1:2 ✺
27.09.24	Lorient - Ajaccio	3:0 ✺
24.09.24	Pau - Lorient	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWWL
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
25.10.24	Dunkerque - Red Star	2:0 ✺
18.10.24	Laval - Dunkerque	3:2 ✺
04.10.24	Dunkerque - Troyes	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	Martigues - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	Dunkerque - Bastia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWTW

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